SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
13.05.2026 19:00
Fir Park
Referee: J. Beaton
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
E. Watt
Motherwell
41'
D. Maeda
Celtic
58'
B. Nygren · Assist: Yang Hyun-Jun
Celtic
🟨
61'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
🔄
69'
C. Slattery ↔ R. Charles-Cook
Motherwell
🔄
70'
S. Tounekti ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
70'
A. Johnston ↔ A. Ralston
Celtic
🔄
70'
B. Nygren ↔ R. Hatate
Celtic
🔄
78'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
78'
K. Tierney ↔ M. Saracchi
Celtic
🔄
81'
J. Koutroumbis ↔ L. Gordon
Motherwell
🔄
81'
I. Said ↔ S. Nicholson
Motherwell
85'
L. Gordon
Motherwell
🔄
88'
E. Just ↔ C. Hendry
Motherwell
🔄
88'
T. Maswanhise ↔ O. Priestman
Motherwell
🟨
90+8'
Emmanuel Longelo
Motherwell
🟨
90+1'
Sam Nicholson
Motherwell
🟨
90+10'
Kelechi Iheanacho
Celtic
🟨
90+1'
Liam Scales
Celtic
VAR
90+7'
Auston Trusty
Celtic
90'
K. Iheanacho
Celtic

Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 34.7%
Draw 11.6%
Celtic Win 53.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.41
Celtic1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
56 GF / 33 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
82 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
27
14
Over 2.5
31
4.78
Shots on Goal
5.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 36 matches
Celtic Celtic 48 matches
Motherwell Statistic Celtic
15 Wins 28
13 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
56 Goals For 82
33 Goals Against 57
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 27
28 Over 1.5 38
14 Over 2.5 31
10 Over 3.5 19
17 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 9
4.78 Shots On Goal 5.21
13.11 Total Shots 14.79
3.83 Corners 6.54
58.4% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Celtic look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Celtic. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Motherwell Analysis

With 58 points from 36 games and a place of 4, Motherwell still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 56:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Maswanhise (17 goals), E. Longelo (8 goals), E. Just (7 goals), with creative support from C. Slattery (8 assists), E. Just (7 assists), E. Longelo (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 76 points after 36 outings. With 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 67:38, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (12 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (8 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (8 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 1 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:40 from Motherwell's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 1, draws 2, Celtic wins 12

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round