SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Fir Park
Referee: J. Beaton
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
E. Watt
Motherwell
41'
D. Maeda
Celtic
58'
B. Nygren · Assist: Yang Hyun-Jun
Celtic
🟨
61'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
🔄
69'
C. Slattery ↔ R. Charles-Cook
Motherwell
🔄
70'
S. Tounekti ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
70'
A. Johnston ↔ A. Ralston
Celtic
🔄
70'
B. Nygren ↔ R. Hatate
Celtic
🔄
78'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
78'
K. Tierney ↔ M. Saracchi
Celtic
🔄
81'
J. Koutroumbis ↔ L. Gordon
Motherwell
🔄
81'
I. Said ↔ S. Nicholson
Motherwell
85'
L. Gordon
Motherwell
🔄
88'
E. Just ↔ C. Hendry
Motherwell
🔄
88'
T. Maswanhise ↔ O. Priestman
Motherwell
🟨
90+8'
Emmanuel Longelo
Motherwell
🟨
90+1'
Sam Nicholson
Motherwell
🟨
90+10'
Kelechi Iheanacho
Celtic
🟨
90+1'
Liam Scales
Celtic
VAR
90+7'
Auston Trusty
Celtic
90'
K. Iheanacho
Celtic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 34.7%
Draw 11.6%
Celtic Win 53.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.41
Celtic1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
56 GF / 33 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
82 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
27
14
Over 2.5
31
4.78
Shots on Goal
5.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 36 matches
Celtic Celtic 48 matches
Motherwell Statistic Celtic
15 Wins 28
13 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
56 Goals For 82
33 Goals Against 57
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 27
28 Over 1.5 38
14 Over 2.5 31
10 Over 3.5 19
17 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 9
4.78 Shots On Goal 5.21
13.11 Total Shots 14.79
3.83 Corners 6.54
58.4% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Celtic look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Celtic. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Motherwell Analysis

With 58 points from 36 games and a place of 4, Motherwell still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 56:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Maswanhise (17 goals), E. Longelo (8 goals), E. Just (7 goals), with creative support from C. Slattery (8 assists), E. Just (7 assists), E. Longelo (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 76 points after 36 outings. With 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 67:38, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (12 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (8 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (8 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 1 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:40 from Motherwell's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 1, draws 2, Celtic wins 12
Stats
Motherwell Motherwell
Celtic Celtic
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
493 Total passes 546
406 Passes accurate 465
1.21 expected_goals 1.37
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Motherwell
Formation
Celtic
C. Ward
C. Ward
T. Sparrow
T. Sparrow
S. O'Donnell
S. O'Donnell
J. Koutroumbis
J. Koutroumbis
E. Longelo
E. Longelo
L. Fadinger
L. Fadinger
E. Watt
E. Watt
I. Said
I. Said
C. Slattery
C. Slattery
E. Just
E. Just
T. Maswanhise
T. Maswanhise
V. Sinisalo
V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
A. Johnston
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
L. Scales
L. Scales
K. Tierney
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
C. McGregor
A. Engels
A. Engels
Yang Hyun-Jun
🎯
Yang Hyun-Jun
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
S. Tounekti
S. Tounekti
D. Maeda
D. Maeda
Motherwell 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
C. Ward
G
7
T. Sparrow
D
2
S. O'Donnell
D
22
J. Koutroumbis
↓ 81'
D
45
E. Longelo
🟨 90+8'
D
12
L. Fadinger
M
20
E. Watt
⚽ 17'
M
90
I. Said
↓ 81'
M
8
C. Slattery
↓ 69'
M
21
E. Just
↓ 88'
M
18
T. Maswanhise
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
31
Matty Connelly
G
77
R. Charles-Cook
↑ 69'
F
66
C. Hendry
↑ 88'
F
25
O. Priestman
↑ 88'
M
28
L. Ross
F
29
M. Booth
M
4
L. Gordon
⚽ 85' ↑ 81'
D
19
S. Nicholson
↑ 81' 🟨 90+1'
F
48
A. Thomson
D
Celtic 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
V. Sinisalo
G
2
A. Johnston
↓ 70'
D
6
A. Trusty
D
5
L. Scales
🟨 90+1'
D
63
K. Tierney
↓ 78'
D
42
C. McGregor
M
27
A. Engels
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
🎯 58' ↓ 78'
M
8
B. Nygren
⚽ 58' ↓ 70'
M
23
S. Tounekti
↓ 70'
M
38
D. Maeda
⚽ 41' 🟨 61'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Doohan
G
49
J. Forrest
↑ 78'
M
17
K. Iheanacho
⚽ 90' ↑ 70' 🟨 90+10'
F
56
A. Ralston
↑ 70'
D
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
36
M. Saracchi
↑ 78'
D
41
R. Hatate
↑ 70'
M
14
L. McCowan
M
47
D. Murray
D
Last matches: Motherwell
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
Last matches: Celtic
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
H2H: Motherwell vs Celtic
13.05.26
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
14.03.26
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
L
30.12.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
L
02.02.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
26.12.24
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
4
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
3
L
25.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
25.11.23
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
1
1
D
30.09.23
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
1
1
D
09.11.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
L
19.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
4
L
01.10.22
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
2
1
L
14.05.22
H2H
Celtic
Motherwell
6
0
L
Last matches: Motherwell
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0
0
D
25.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
02.08.25
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
H2H at home: Motherwell
13.05.26
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
30.12.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
27.10.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
3
L
25.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
30.09.23
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
L
09.11.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
L
19.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
4
L
Last matches: Celtic
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
4
2
W
17.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Celtic
Feyenoord
3
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Celtic
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
19.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
0
2
L
24.09.25
UEF
Celtic
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
1
D
H2H away: Celtic
13.05.26
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
W
30.12.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
W
27.10.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
3
W
25.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
W
30.09.23
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
W
09.11.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
1
2
W
19.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Celtic
0
4
W

Standings

Premiership , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 4 8 73:41 32 82
W W W W W
2 38 24 8 6 67:34 33 80
L W D W W
3 38 20 12 6 76:43 33 72
W L L L L
4 38 16 13 9 59:36 23 61
W L D L W
5 38 15 12 11 58:44 14 57
L W W L L
6 38 14 7 17 50:62 -12 49
L L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification