ALGERIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Belhamiti Larbi
Mostaganem
Match Timeline
El Bayadh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Namani
Mostaganem
8'
A. Chelali
El Bayadh
🟨
14'
Mostaganem
Mostaganem
🟨
31'
Mostaganem
Mostaganem
🟨
44'
El Bayadh
El Bayadh
45'
A. Ben Zina
Mostaganem
74'
I. Yaiche
El Bayadh
🟨
82'
El Bayadh
El Bayadh

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 41.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
41.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 0-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mostaganem Win 33%
Draw 41.2%
El Bayadh Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mostaganem0.85
El Bayadh1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mostaganem Mostaganem
WWDLW
16 GF / 50 GA
El Bayadh El Bayadh
WLDWL
15 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
0.52
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mostaganem Mostaganem 29 matches
El Bayadh El Bayadh 29 matches
Mostaganem Statistic El Bayadh
4 Wins 2
6 Draws 10
19 Losses 17
16 Goals For 15
50 Goals Against 38
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.52
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
19 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors El Bayadh. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward El Bayadh having the stronger overall control.

Mostaganem Analysis

Mostaganem sit 15 with 18 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 16:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Z. Motrani (5 goals), A. Askar (2 goals), A. El Moudene (2 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Bayadh Analysis

El Bayadh sit 16 with 16 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 15:38, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Benyahia (3 goals), A. Barkat (2 goals), A. El Orfi (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mostaganem won 0 times, El Bayadh won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Mostaganem's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
H2H summary: Mostaganem wins 0, draws 3, El Bayadh wins 1
Last matches: Mostaganem
19.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
USM Alger
1
1
D
07.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
0
4
L
10.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
7
L
17.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Paradou AC
3
2
W
13.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ASO Chlef
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Alger
0
5
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ES Setif
0
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Kabylie
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MB Rouisset
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Oran
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CS Constantine
1
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Olympique Akbou
1
0
W
08.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
2
3
L
17.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
USM Alger
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
2
L
Last matches: El Bayadh
20.05.26
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Saoura
0
0
D
08.05.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Khenchela
1
2
L
17.04.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Paradou AC
0
1
L
09.04.26
Lig
El Bayadh
MC Alger
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Kabylie
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
El Bayadh
MC Oran
0
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Olympique Akbou
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Ben Aknoun
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
USM Alger
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
CR Belouizdad
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
ASO Chlef
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
ES Setif
0
0
D
04.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
MB Rouisset
2
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
El Bayadh
CS Constantine
1
1
D
08.01.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Mostaganem
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Saoura
1
2
L
19.12.25
Lig
El Bayadh
Khenchela
1
2
L
20.11.25
Lig
El Bayadh
Paradou AC
0
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
El Bayadh
MC Alger
0
1
L
03.11.25
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Kabylie
1
4
L
H2H: Mostaganem vs El Bayadh
05.06.26
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
2
2
D
08.01.26
H2H
El Bayadh
Mostaganem
1
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
0
D
30.11.24
H2H
El Bayadh
Mostaganem
1
1
D
Last matches: Mostaganem
07.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
0
4
L
10.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Paradou AC
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Alger
0
5
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Kabylie
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Oran
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Olympique Akbou
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
1
L
17.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
USM Alger
2
2
D
02.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
2
L
17.10.25
Lig
Mostaganem
ASO Chlef
0
1
L
29.09.25
Lig
Mostaganem
ES Setif
1
0
W
11.09.25
Lig
Mostaganem
MB Rouisset
1
1
D
30.08.25
Lig
Mostaganem
CS Constantine
2
0
W
H2H at home: Mostaganem
05.06.26
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
0
D
Last matches: El Bayadh
08.05.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Khenchela
1
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
El Bayadh
MC Alger
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
El Bayadh
MC Oran
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
El Bayadh
Ben Aknoun
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
CR Belouizdad
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
El Bayadh
ES Setif
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
El Bayadh
CS Constantine
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Saoura
1
2
L
20.11.25
Lig
El Bayadh
Paradou AC
0
2
L
03.11.25
Lig
El Bayadh
JS Kabylie
1
4
L
17.10.25
Lig
El Bayadh
Olympique Akbou
0
1
L
29.09.25
Lig
El Bayadh
USM Alger
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
El Bayadh
ASO Chlef
0
2
L
29.08.25
Lig
El Bayadh
MB Rouisset
0
1
L
H2H away: El Bayadh
05.06.26
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 5 5 41:18 23 65
W L D W W
2 30 16 7 7 40:26 14 55
W D D W W
3 30 14 11 5 47:24 23 53
D D W W L
4 30 14 7 9 36:31 5 49
D L W W L
5 30 11 12 7 40:31 9 45
D W W L D
6 30 12 9 9 34:31 3 45
D L L L D
7 30 12 8 10 37:37 0 44
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 41:39 2 43
D D L W L
9 30 11 10 9 35:30 5 43
L D L W D
10 30 8 15 7 34:29 5 39
D D D L L
11 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W W W L W
12 30 9 9 12 30:35 -5 36
L W W D D
13 30 9 7 14 26:31 -5 34
L L L W L
14 30 7 3 20 35:54 -19 24
L L L W W
15 30 4 7 19 18:52 -34 19
D L D L L
16 30 2 11 17 17:40 -23 17
D D L L L
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation