NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 36.8%
Draw 28.4%
Strommen Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.88
Strommen1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
50 GF / 65 GA
Strommen Strommen
WLDWL
39 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.44
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.19
22
BTTS Yes
16
24
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 30 matches
Strommen Strommen 27 matches
Moss Statistic Strommen
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
17 Losses 15
50 Goals For 39
65 Goals Against 59
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.19
22 BTTS Yes 16
29 Over 1.5 22
24 Over 2.5 20
16 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Moss expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Strommen in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Strommen having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Strommen. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Moss Analysis

Moss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 18 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:41 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Strommen Analysis

Strommen approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 3 times, Strommen won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Moss's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.6%)
Predicted formations: Moss 4-3-3 / Strommen 5-3-2
H2H summary: Moss wins 3, draws 0, Strommen wins 2
Last matches: Moss
15.08.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
1
2
L
10.08.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
3
D
02.08.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
2
L
26.07.26
1.
Moss
Raufoss
1
2
L
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
Last matches: Strommen
16.08.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
3
4
L
09.08.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
1
4
L
02.08.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
26.07.26
1.
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
03.07.26
1.
Strommen
Raufoss
0
1
L
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
H2H: Moss vs Strommen
27.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Moss
3
2
L
31.01.26
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
0
W
24.09.22
H2H
Strommen
Moss
1
3
W
28.05.22
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
1
W
03.06.21
H2H
Strommen
Moss
2
0
L
Last matches: Moss
10.08.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
3
D
26.07.26
1.
Moss
Raufoss
1
2
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Moss
Arendal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Moss
Follo
6
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Moss
Strommen
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Moss
Kjelsås
0
3
L
H2H at home: Moss
31.01.26
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
0
W
28.05.22
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
1
W
Last matches: Strommen
16.08.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
3
4
L
02.08.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Strommen
Raufoss
0
1
L
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Raufoss
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Strommen
Moss
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Strommen
Lyn
2
1
W
H2H away: Strommen
31.01.26
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
1
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 48:19 29 39
W W W W W
2 18 12 3 3 48:28 20 39
W W L W W
3 18 12 1 5 57:36 21 37
L W W L W
4 18 10 5 3 47:26 21 35
W L W D L
5 18 9 3 6 32:32 0 30
W W W L W
6 18 8 5 5 35:28 7 29
L D W D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W W W L W
8 18 8 2 8 31:32 -1 26
L W W D W
9 18 7 2 9 44:45 -1 23
L W L L L
10 18 6 3 9 32:43 -11 21
W L L W L
11 18 6 2 10 29:38 -9 20
W L W D W
12 19 6 2 11 26:35 -9 20
L L L L L
13
Moss Home
18 5 3 10 29:41 -12 18
L D L L L
14 18 5 2 11 27:40 -13 17
W L L D L
15 18 5 1 12 22:43 -21 16
L L L W W
16 18 4 3 11 25:45 -20 15
L L W D L
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