NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Al Hatem
Moss
Match Timeline
Sandnes ULF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
O. Sundgot · Assist: A. Nyhagen
Sandnes ULF
🟨
27'
W. Kvale
Moss
🟨
43'
A. Nyhagen
Sandnes ULF
🟨
60'
W. Olofsson
Moss
🔄
66'
P. Andersen ↔ K. Harrison
Moss
🔄
66'
R. Marcus ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
67'
A. Tricholidis ↔ F. Botnen
Sandnes ULF
🔄
67'
J. Aune ↔ M. Sundberg
Sandnes ULF
🟨
75'
J. Laegreid
Moss
🔄
75'
N. Semmen ↔ T. Jakobsen
Moss
🟨
77'
G. Oregaard
Sandnes ULF
77'
O. Sundgot · Assist: E. Berland
Sandnes ULF
84'
M. Sundberg · Assist: K. Kostadinov
Sandnes ULF
🔄
86'
O. Sundgot ↔ P. Brekke
Sandnes ULF
87'
P. Brekke · Assist: S. Saugestad
Sandnes ULF
🔄
88'
K. Kostadinov ↔ D. Arifagic
Sandnes ULF
🔄
90+2'
O. Aga ↔ R. Hermanstad
Moss
🔄
90+2'
W. Olofsson ↔ E. Chidi
Moss
90'
O. Aga
Moss

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.6%
1.91
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.01
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 72.6%
Draw 7%
Sandnes ULF Win 20.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.64
Sandnes ULF1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
41 GF / 46 GA
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.56
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
16
BTTS Yes
8
17
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 23 matches
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF 18 matches
Moss Statistic Sandnes ULF
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
11 Losses 7
41 Goals For 28
46 Goals Against 26
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
16 BTTS Yes 8
22 Over 1.5 15
17 Over 2.5 8
13 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sandnes ULF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sandnes ULF having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Moss Analysis

Moss sit 8 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by O. Aga (5 goals), J. Laegreid (2 goals), N. Semmen (2 goals), with creative support from J. Laegreid (4 assists), O. Aga (1 assists), N. Semmena (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sandnes ULF Analysis

Sandnes ULF are currently 12 in the standings with 10 points from 10 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 12:18 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through O. Sundgot (4 goals), M. Sundberg (2 goals), A. Nyhagen (1 goals), with creative support from M. Sundberg (2 assists), A. Bruseth (2 assists), O. Sundgot (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 2 times, Sandnes ULF won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Moss's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: Moss wins 2, draws 1, Sandnes ULF wins 3

Lineups

Moss
Formation
Sandnes ULF
M. Eriksen
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
M. Cassidy
K. Strande
K. Strande
W. Olofsson
W. Olofsson
W. Kvale
W. Kvale
R. Marcus
R. Marcus
P. Andersen
P. Andersen
S. Gronli
S. Gronli
N. Semmen
N. Semmen
O. Aga
O. Aga
J. Laegreid
J. Laegreid
T. Flolid
T. Flolid
A. Kryger
A. Kryger
G. Oregaard
G. Oregaard
A. Nyhagen
🎯
A. Nyhagen
A. Tricholidis
A. Tricholidis
S. Saugestad
🎯
S. Saugestad
Z. Nsoni
Z. Nsoni
K. Kostadinov
🎯
K. Kostadinov
E. Berland
🎯
E. Berland
J. Aune
J. Aune
O. Sundgot
⚽ 2
O. Sundgot
Moss 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Eriksen
2
M. Cassidy
3
K. Strande
24
W. Olofsson
↓ 90+2' 🟨 60'
16
W. Kvale
🟨 27'
18
R. Marcus
↓ 66'
17
P. Andersen
↓ 66'
21
S. Gronli
20
N. Semmen
↓ 75'
9
O. Aga
⚽ 90' ↓ 90+2'
7
J. Laegreid
🟨 75'
Substitutes
4
K. Harrison
↑ 66'
5
E. Race
8
H. Vold Krohg
↑ 66'
11
T. Jakobsen
↑ 75'
23
R. Hermanstad
↑ 90+2'
26
E. Chidi
↑ 90+2'
31
J. Harveg
32
F. Lovtangen
40
J. Rylander
Sandnes ULF 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
T. Flolid
4
A. Kryger
5
G. Oregaard
🟨 77'
17
A. Nyhagen
🎯 8' 🟨 43'
26
A. Tricholidis
↓ 67'
8
S. Saugestad
🎯 87'
15
Z. Nsoni
10
K. Kostadinov
🎯 84' ↓ 88'
23
E. Berland
🎯 77'
20
J. Aune
↓ 67'
9
O. Sundgot
⚽ 8' ⚽ 77' ↓ 86'
Substitutes
1
A. Falch
3
F. Botnen
↑ 67'
11
M. Sundberg
⚽ 84' ↑ 67'
14
P. Brekke
⚽ 87' ↑ 86'
22
D. Arifagic
↑ 88'
25
E. Debes
28
J. Haruna
Last matches: Moss
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
17.02.26
Fri
Moss
Arendal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Moss
Follo
6
1
W
Last matches: Sandnes ULF
14.06.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Strommen
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
1
5
L
25.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Sogndal
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Asane
0
2
L
15.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Egersund
4
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Stabaek
0
1
L
01.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Haugesund
0
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
20.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Lyn
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
ODD Ballklubb
1
3
L
07.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
hodd
1
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Haugesund
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Vidar
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Vard
6
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Egersund
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Raufoss
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Vidar
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Viking
0
2
L
H2H: Moss vs Sandnes ULF
21.06.26
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
25.09.24
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
6
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
Sandnes ULF
Moss
3
3
D
13.08.23
H2H
Sandnes ULF
Moss
2
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
22.09.21
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
7
L
Last matches: Moss
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Moss
Arendal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Moss
Follo
6
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Moss
Strommen
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Moss
Kjelsås
0
3
L
H2H at home: Moss
21.06.26
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
25.09.24
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
6
1
W
07.05.23
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
22.09.21
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
7
L
Last matches: Sandnes ULF
31.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
1
5
L
20.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Asane
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Haugesund
0
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
Lyn
2
0
W
07.04.26
1.
Sandnes ULF
hodd
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Vidar
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Egersund
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Raufoss
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fri
Sandnes ULF
Vidar
1
0
W
H2H away: Sandnes ULF
21.06.26
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
W
25.09.24
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
6
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
0
L
22.09.21
H2H
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
7
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 4.03
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.96
Draw 2.59
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.59
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 2.00
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.5 3.68
Over 5.5 6.84
Under 1.5 5.62
Under 2.5 2.61
Under 2.75 2.35
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.25 1.83
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 5.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 4.00
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.75
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.44
Draw 3.85
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 2.39
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.52
Draw 2.79
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.13
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.96
Over 3.5 2.19
Over 3.75 2.46
Over 4.0 2.96
Over 4.25 3.26
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 4.75 4.35
Over 5.0 5.75
Over 5.25 6.10
Over 5.5 6.40
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 1.75 4.72
Under 2.0 4.25
Under 2.25 3.07
Under 2.5 2.46
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 1.97
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 3.75 1.48
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.60
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.48
Home 2.48
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.85
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.0 1.20
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.62
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 3.75 2.63
Over 4.0 3.30
Over 4.25 3.60
Over 4.5 3.90
Over 4.75 4.70
Over 5.0 6.10
Over 5.25 6.40
Over 5.5 6.50
Under 1.5 4.70
Under 2.0 3.90
Under 2.25 2.85
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 2.75 2.12
Under 3.0 1.88
Under 3.25 1.67
Under 3.5 1.55
Under 3.75 1.41
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.23
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.07

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 36:16 20 27
D W W W D
2 12 8 3 1 29:16 13 27
D W W L W
3 12 8 1 3 36:23 13 25
L W W W W
4 12 7 2 3 24:14 10 23
D L W W L
5 12 6 3 3 25:14 11 21
L W D W D
6 12 6 2 4 32:26 6 20
W L D W L
7
Moss Home
12 5 2 5 21:26 -5 17
L W D L D
8 12 5 1 6 18:19 -1 16
W W L W L
9 12 5 1 6 19:21 -2 16
W L L L D
10 12 5 1 6 18:20 -2 16
W W W L L
11 12 4 3 5 14:15 -1 15
D L L W L
12 12 3 3 6 20:29 -9 12
L L W L D
13 12 3 1 8 16:28 -12 10
W L L L W
14 12 3 1 8 10:24 -14 10
L L L W D
15 12 3 1 8 15:24 -9 9
L W L W W
16 12 2 2 8 15:33 -18 8
W L D L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation