NORWAY 1. DIVISION
13.09.2026 15:00
Referee: H. Holthe
Moss
Match Timeline
Haugesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
N. Semmen · Assist: J. Musbaudeen
Moss
10'
B. Leite
Haugesund
28'
N. Sandberg · Assist: L. Remmem
Haugesund
🟨
30'
S. Molde
Haugesund
🟨
34'
J. Musbaudeen
Moss
🟨
41'
S. Nilsen
Haugesund
🔄
46'
W. Kvale ↔ N. Alexandersson
Moss
🔄
46'
B. Leite ↔ P. Hannola
Haugesund
56'
S. Diarra
Haugesund
🟨
65'
N. Sandberg
Haugesund
🔄
74'
K. Strande ↔ N. Ibsen
Moss
🔄
74'
N. Semmen ↔ M. Njie
Moss
🔄
74'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ T. Usman
Moss
🔄
76'
I. Camara ↔ E. Andersen
Haugesund
🔄
80'
P. Andersen ↔ S. Gronli
Moss
🔄
86'
N. Sandberg ↔ A. Grindhaug
Haugesund
89'
A. Grindhaug · Assist: P. Hannola
Haugesund
🔄
90+2'
L. Remmem ↔ E. Rohd
Haugesund
🔄
90+2'
S. Diarra ↔ I. Seone
Haugesund

Moss vs Haugesund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.7%
1.55
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.25
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 14.6%
Draw 4.7%
Haugesund Win 80.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.76
Haugesund2.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
56 GF / 71 GA
Haugesund Haugesund
WLDWL
87 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.81
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
25
BTTS Yes
21
27
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 33 matches
Haugesund Haugesund 31 matches
Moss Statistic Haugesund
9 Wins 18
6 Draws 4
18 Losses 9
56 Goals For 87
71 Goals Against 57
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.81
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
25 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 24
18 Over 3.5 20
3 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Haugesund's more proactive style and Moss's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Haugesund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 46 points while Moss sit 13 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Haugesund look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haugesund having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Haugesund.

Moss Analysis

Moss are currently 13 in the standings with 22 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, while the 35:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Haugesund Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 46 points from 21 games, Haugesund bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:36, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 0 times, Haugesund won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Moss's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Moss wins 0, draws 2, Haugesund wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14
Moss Home
22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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