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NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
14.10.2026 17:00
Referee: M. Hafezi

Moss vs Egersund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.8%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.51 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 25.2%
Draw 31%
Egersund Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.78
Egersund1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
61 GF / 79 GA
Egersund Egersund
WLDWL
52 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.68
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
28
BTTS Yes
18
30
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 37 matches
Egersund Egersund 31 matches
Moss Statistic Egersund
11 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 12
61 Goals For 52
79 Goals Against 61
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
28 BTTS Yes 18
36 Over 1.5 28
30 Over 2.5 21
19 Over 3.5 15
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Egersund. Moss have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egersund having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Moss Analysis

With 25 points from 24 games and a place of 13, Moss still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 38:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Egersund Analysis

So far, Egersund have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 29 points from 24 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 36:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 3 times, Egersund won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Moss's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.8%)
H2H summary: Moss wins 3, draws 1, Egersund wins 5

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 76:37 39 56
W W W D W
2 25 18 2 5 75:40 35 56
D W W W W
3 25 16 6 3 66:32 34 54
W W W W D
4 25 14 4 7 59:33 26 46
D L W L L
5 25 12 6 7 52:39 13 42
W W W L D
6 25 12 2 11 34:33 1 38
L W W W L
7 25 10 4 11 41:51 -10 34
L L L L D
8 25 9 5 11 39:50 -11 32
W L L D D
9 25 9 4 12 63:64 -1 31
L W W D D
10 26 8 6 12 46:58 -12 30
W D D L D
11 25 8 4 13 40:54 -14 28
L L L W D
12
Moss Home
25 8 4 13 40:55 -15 28
W L W L W
13 25 7 5 13 36:46 -10 26
D D L L D
14 24 6 5 13 39:55 -16 23
L L D L L
15 26 6 5 15 37:60 -23 23
L W L L D
16 24 6 1 17 27:63 -36 19
L L W L L
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