MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
02.05.2026 17:00
Stadion Topolica
Mornar
Match Timeline
Jedinstvo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
O. Obradovic
Jedinstvo
⚽
37'
Y. Yao
Mornar
🟨
38'
A. Kaludjerovic
Mornar
🟨
53'
M. Nikolic
Jedinstvo
🔄
64'
P. Vukcevic ↔ S. Denkovic
Mornar
🔄
64'
A. Kaludjerovic ↔ M. Djurisic
Mornar
🟨
67'
A. Cepic
Jedinstvo
🔄
72'
A. Skrijelj ↔ A. Dukic
Jedinstvo
🔄
72'
D. Kolic ↔ A. Cvijovic
Jedinstvo
⚽
79'
S. Denkovic
Mornar
🔄
82'
Z. Korac ↔ M. Idrizovic
Jedinstvo
🔄
84'
D. Skrijelj ↔ V. Dragovic
Mornar
🟨
85'
R. Dzafic
Jedinstvo
⚽
85'
S. Denkovic
Mornar
🔄
87'
S. Radojevic ↔ B. Barovic
Jedinstvo
🔄
87'
G. Makridakis ↔ L. Sekularac
Jedinstvo
🔄
88'
B. Sekulic ↔ M. Rovcanin
Mornar
🔄
88'
V. Ljutica ↔ N. Vujnovic
Mornar
🟨
90+4'
R. Dzafic
Jedinstvo
🟥
90+4'
R. Dzafic
Jedinstvo

Mornar vs Jedinstvo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 71.1%
Draw 0%
Jedinstvo Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.44
Jedinstvo0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
45 GF / 28 GA
Jedinstvo Jedinstvo
WLDWL
25 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 31 matches
Jedinstvo Jedinstvo 31 matches
Mornar Statistic Jedinstvo
18 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 17
45 Goals For 25
28 Goals Against 44
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
16 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Mornar's more proactive style and Jedinstvo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jedinstvo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jedinstvo. Mornar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 60 points compared to Jedinstvo in 10 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mornar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Mornar Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 60 points from 31 games, Mornar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 45:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Sekulic (15 goals), S. Denkovic (8 goals), D. Zoric (6 goals), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Jedinstvo Analysis

Jedinstvo sit 10 with 28 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 25:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Z. Korac (10 goals), A. Musovic (2 goals), M. Nikolic (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 7 times, Jedinstvo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Mornar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Mornar wins 7, draws 4, Jedinstvo wins 4

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation