Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.8%
|
- |
Moreirense
Estoril
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Moreirense
29 matches
Estoril
29 matches
| Moreirense | Statistic | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 32 | Goals For | 51 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.21 |
| 8.52 | Total Shots | 11.93 |
| 3.55 | Corners | 4.45 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Estoril's more proactive style and Moreirense's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Moreirense expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Estoril in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estoril having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Estoril. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 36 points from 29 games and a place of 9, Moreirense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Guilherme Schettine (9 goals), Travassos (4 goals), Alanzinho (3 goals), with creative support from Dinis Pinto (6 assists), Alanzinho (5 assists), Travassos (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Estoril sit 7 with 37 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 51:50, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Begraoui (19 goals), João Carvalho (6 goals), Alejandro Marqués (4 goals), with creative support from João Carvalho (11 assists), Jordan Holsgrove (7 assists), R. Guitane (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 5 times, Estoril won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Moreirense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Moreirense
4
1
5
2
2
1
Lineups
Moreirense
AVS
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense
Famalicao
Moreirense
SC Braga
Moreirense
Arouca
Moreirense
FC Porto
Moreirense
Nacional
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Alverca
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
AVS
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
Benfica
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Guimaraes
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Moreirense
AVS
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
SC Braga
Moreirense
Arouca
Moreirense
Nacional
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense
Famalicao
Moreirense
FC Porto
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Guimaraes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Moreirense
Home
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Estoril
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|