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09.09.2026 19:45
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Referee: F. Verissimo
Moreirense
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Gilberto Batista
Moreirense
🟨
45+3'
Alexandre Parsemain
Moreirense
VAR
45'
Clément Lenglet
Benfica
⚽
45'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🟨
52'
Landerson
Moreirense
⚽
55'
A. Schjelderup · Assist: G. Prestianni
Benfica
🔄
56'
Landerson ↔ T. Andrade
Moreirense
🔄
56'
A. Duville-Parsemain ↔ Yan Maranhao
Moreirense
⚽
59'
G. Prestianni · Assist: A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🔄
66'
D. Pinto ↔ L. Santos
Moreirense
🔄
66'
N. John ↔ K. Bondoso
Moreirense
🔄
66'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
67'
L. Barreiro ↔ F. Aursnes
Benfica
🔄
67'
G. Prestianni ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
⚽
72'
F. Aursnes · Assist: A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
75'
João Palhinha
Benfica
🔄
78'
S. Dahl ↔ S. El Karouani
Benfica
🔄
79'
Maracas ↔ Kevyn Monteiro
Moreirense
🔄
86'
Rafa Silva ↔ G. Sudakov
Benfica
🟨
87'
Mateja Stjepanović
Moreirense
🟨
90+1'
Jhon Durán
Benfica

Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moreirense Win 35%
Draw 11.8%
Benfica Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreirense1.17
Benfica2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreirense Moreirense
L W L D L
5 GF / 10 GA
Benfica Benfica
W W W W W
18 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
3.15
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
11
2.75
Shots on Goal
8.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moreirense Moreirense 9 matches
Benfica Benfica 13 matches
Moreirense Statistic Benfica
2 Wins 9
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
12 Goals For 41
16 Goals Against 12
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 3.15
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
6 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 0
2.75 Shots On Goal 8.4
6.25 Total Shots 21.4
2.25 Corners 7.4
38% Ball Possession 64.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 1 times, Benfica won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:30 from Moreirense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Moreirense 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Moreirense wins 1, draws 6, Benfica wins 8

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 11 6 2 3 13:8 5 20
L W W W D
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 11 3 4 4 15:14 1 13
W L W L W
11 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2