PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

09.09.2026 19:45

Moreirense

0 - 4

Benfica

Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal

Moreirense

Match Timeline

Benfica

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 53.2%

Odds 1.16

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds 2.20

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.43

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	53.2%	1.16	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	2.20	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.43	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	78.2%	1.80	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	3.75	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Moreirense Win 35%

Draw 11.8%

Benfica Win 53.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense1.17

Benfica2.6

Recent Form (Last 5)

Moreirense

WWDLW

12 GF / 16 GA

Benfica

WLDWL

41 GF / 12 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

3.15

1.78

Average Goals Conceded

0.92

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.75

Shots on Goal

6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moreirense 9 matches

Benfica 13 matches

Moreirense	Statistic	Benfica
2	Wins	9
3	Draws	2
4	Losses	2
12	Goals For	41
16	Goals Against	12
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	3.15
1.78	Avg Goals Conceded	0.92
6	BTTS Yes	9
8	Over 1.5	13
7	Over 2.5	11
4	Over 3.5	7
2	Clean Sheets	4
1	Failed To Score	0
2.75	Shots On Goal	6.5
6.25	Total Shots	8.4
2.25	Corners	4.9
38%	Ball Possession	44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 1 times, Benfica won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:30 from Moreirense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)

Predicted formations: Moreirense 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Moreirense wins 1, draws 6, Benfica wins 8

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	6	6	0	0	15:2	13	18	W W W W W
2	Benfica Away	6	5	1	0	21:4	17	16	W W W W W
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15:6	9	14	D W W W W
4	Santa Clara	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14	W W D W W
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10	L D W L W
6	Estrela	5	2	3	0	11:9	2	9	W D W D D
7	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7:9	-2	8	W W L D L
8	SC Braga	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L W W D
9	GIL Vicente	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7	L L D W W
10	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L D W W
11	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5	W L D L D
12	Famalicao	6	0	4	2	5:7	-2	4	D D D L L
13	Vitória SC	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4	L D L W L
14	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4	L L L L W
15	Moreirense Home	5	1	1	3	4:12	-8	4	L L W L D
16	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	2:11	-9	3	L L W L L
17	Estoril	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	D L L L D
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1:15	-14	1	L D L L L