Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Moreirense
AVS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Moreirense
33 matches
AVS
33 matches
| Moreirense | Statistic | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 11 |
| 15 | Losses | 19 |
| 37 | Goals For | 27 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.03 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 3.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.12 |
| 8.79 | Total Shots | 11.12 |
| 3.61 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 39.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AVS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Moreirense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 42 points compared to AVS in 18 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Moreirense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AVS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AVS having the stronger overall control.
From their first 33 matches, Moreirense have collected 42 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, while the 37:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Guilherme Schettine (9 goals), Alanzinho (5 goals), Travassos (5 goals), with creative support from Dinis Pinto (6 assists), Alanzinho (5 assists), Travassos (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 20 points from 33 games and a place of 18, AVS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 11 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 27:67 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (4 goals), Pedro Lima (4 goals), Tomané (4 goals), with creative support from T. Akinsola (4 assists), Guilherme Neiva (3 assists), Pedro Lima (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 2 times, AVS won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Moreirense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Moreirense
4
1
5
4
4
4
Lineups
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense
Estoril
Moreirense
Famalicao
Moreirense
SC Braga
Moreirense
Arouca
Moreirense
FC Porto
Moreirense
Nacional
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Alverca
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
AVS
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
Benfica
AVS
FC Porto
AVS
Nacional
AVS
Sporting CP
AVS
Rio Ave
AVS
Guimaraes
AVS
GIL Vicente
AVS
Tondela
AVS
Santa Clara
AVS
Alverca
AVS
Estrela
AVS
Benfica
AVS
Estoril
AVS
Famalicao
AVS
SC Braga
AVS
Casa Pia
AVS
Arouca
AVS
Moreirense
AVS
FC Porto
AVS
Nacional
AVS
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense
Estoril
Moreirense
SC Braga
Moreirense
Arouca
Moreirense
Nacional
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Tondela
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense
Famalicao
Moreirense
FC Porto
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Alverca
AVS
Nacional
AVS
Rio Ave
AVS
GIL Vicente
AVS
Tondela
AVS
Alverca
AVS
Benfica
AVS
Famalicao
AVS
Casa Pia
AVS
FC Porto
AVS
Sporting CP
AVS
Guimaraes
AVS
Santa Clara
AVS
Estrela
AVS
Estoril
AVS
SC Braga
AVS
Arouca