Moreirense
Match Timeline
Arouca
Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Moreirense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreirense1.56
Arouca1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreirense
WWDLW
31 GF / 38 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
33 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
13
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
18
3.31
Shots on Goal
3.58
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Moreirense
26 matches
Arouca
26 matches
| Moreirense | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 31 | Goals For | 33 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.12 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.31 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 8.69 | Total Shots | 10.19 |
| 3.69 | Corners | 3.54 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 6 times, Arouca won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Moreirense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Moreirense 4-3-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Moreirense wins 6, draws 3, Arouca wins 6
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Moreirense
Home
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 8 |
Arouca
Away
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2