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31.10.2026 15:00
The Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Morecambe Win 66.3%
Draw 3.4%
Scarborough Athletic Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Morecambe1.48
Scarborough Athletic1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Morecambe Morecambe
W L L W D
9 GF / 6 GA
Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic
L W L L D
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
9
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Morecambe Morecambe 18 matches
Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 19 matches
Morecambe Statistic Scarborough Athletic
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
28 Goals For 26
16 Goals Against 26
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 1.5
7.5 Total Shots 5
2.5 Corners 4
31.5% Ball Possession 22.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Scarborough Athletic. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scarborough Athletic having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Morecambe Analysis

Morecambe sit 11 with 17 points after 12 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Scarborough Athletic Analysis

Scarborough Athletic approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 15 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 19:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation