ITALY SERIE A
18.09.2026 18:45

Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monza Win 63.1%
Draw 7.1%
Sassuolo Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza1.8
Sassuolo1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monza Monza
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Sassuolo Sassuolo
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.58
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
6.17
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monza Monza 10 matches
Sassuolo Sassuolo 12 matches
Monza Statistic Sassuolo
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
20 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 18
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
6.17 Shots On Goal 6.33
16.33 Total Shots 15.17
4.67 Corners 4.67
49.7% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 3 times, Sassuolo won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Monza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Monza 3-4-2-1 / Sassuolo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monza wins 3, draws 2, Sassuolo wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 6:3 3 10
D W W W
2 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 8:3 5 9
W W W
4 4 3 0 1 4:2 2 9
W W L W
5 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
6 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
L W D
14 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
W L L
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 3 0 1 2 1:4 -3 1
D L L
17 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L D L L
18
Monza Home
4 0 1 3 6:11 -5 1
L D L L
19 4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 4 0 0 4 4:11 -7 0
L L L L
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