Login Register
09.10.2026 18:00
Stade de la Mosson
Referee: Pierre Retail, France
Montpellier
Match Timeline
Grenoble
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Yohann Magnin
Grenoble
⚽
33'
N. Pays
Montpellier
🟨
43'
Julien Laporte
Montpellier
🔄
56'
C. Vidal ↔ F. Limouri
Grenoble
🟨
65'
Nordan Mukiele
Montpellier
🔄
69'
D. Meddah ↔ Y. Mouanga
Montpellier
🔄
69'
N. Vidal-Cartoux ↔ D. Benlahlou
Montpellier
🔄
70'
Y. Macon ↔ J. Akpa Akpro
Grenoble
🔄
71'
Y. Magnin ↔ L. Bernadou
Grenoble
🟨
72'
Alpha Sissoko
Montpellier
🔄
79'
T. Chennahi ↔ H. Abderrebi
Montpellier
🔄
80'
A. Sissoko ↔ N. El Hannach
Montpellier
🔄
83'
U. Bonnet ↔ M. Djitte
Grenoble
🔄
83'
S. Diba ↔ K. Fofana
Grenoble
🟨
85'
Farouq Limouri
Grenoble
🔄
85'
N. Mukiele ↔ Y. Benhattab
Montpellier
🟨
87'
Baptiste Mouazan
Grenoble
🟨
87'
Mael Corboz
Grenoble
⚽
90'
M. Camara · Assist: D. Benlahlou
Montpellier

Montpellier vs Grenoble Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 53%
Draw 18.3%
Grenoble Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.7
Grenoble1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier Montpellier
D W L D W
4 GF / 4 GA
Grenoble Grenoble
D D W L W
6 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
4.43
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montpellier Montpellier 12 matches
Grenoble Grenoble 14 matches
Montpellier Statistic Grenoble
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 6
22 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 21
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 6
4.43 Shots On Goal 2.14
12.29 Total Shots 7.29
5.43 Corners 2.29
57.3% Ball Possession 39.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Montpellier's more proactive style and Grenoble's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Montpellier arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 12 points compared to Grenoble in 13 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Montpellier expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grenoble in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grenoble having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Grenoble. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Montpellier Analysis

Montpellier arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 12 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Sainte-Luce (1 goals), N. Mukiele (1 goals), N. Pays (1 goals), with creative support from T. Sainte-Luce (1 assists), N. Mukiele (1 assists), F. Tardieu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Grenoble Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Grenoble have collected 8 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Diba (2 goals), Yadaly Diaby (2 goals), M. Xantippe (1 goals), with creative support from M. Xantippe (1 assists), B. Mouazan (1 assists), Y. Magnin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 1 times, Grenoble won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Montpellier's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-2-3-1 / Grenoble 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 1, draws 1, Grenoble wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 23:8 15 25
W W W D L
2 10 6 3 1 13:6 7 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 1 3 12:8 4 19
W W W W L
4 10 4 6 0 20:12 8 18
D W D D W
5 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W W W W L
6 10 5 2 3 13:12 1 17
L L W W W
7 10 5 1 4 14:12 2 16
W L W L L
8 10 3 5 2 16:14 2 14
D W L D L
9 10 3 3 4 17:18 -1 12
L L W W W
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
D W L L W
11 10 3 2 5 13:15 -2 11
W L L L W
12 10 2 5 3 8:12 -4 11
L L D D W
13 10 1 7 2 7:7 0 10
D W D L D
14 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
W L L L L
15 10 2 2 6 11:17 -6 8
L L D W L
16 10 2 2 6 9:17 -8 8
L L L D W
17 10 0 7 3 9:14 -5 7
L D L D D
18 10 1 3 6 13:21 -8 6
L D L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3