MEXICO › LIGA MX

11.01.2026 03:05

Monterrey

0 - 1

Toluca

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Referee: Luis Santander, Mexico

Monterrey

Match Timeline

Toluca

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

Monterrey Win 0%

Draw 0%

Toluca Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Monterrey1.53

Toluca1.95

Recent Form (Last 5)

Monterrey

WWDLW

39 GF / 34 GA

Toluca

WLDWL

50 GF / 24 GA

Key Stats

1.86

Average Goals Scored

2.17

1.62

Average Goals Conceded

1.04

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.14

Shots on Goal

5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monterrey 21 matches

Toluca 23 matches

Monterrey	Statistic	Toluca
11	Wins	14
4	Draws	5
6	Losses	4
39	Goals For	50
34	Goals Against	24
1.86	Avg Goals Scored	2.17
1.62	Avg Goals Conceded	1.04
13	BTTS Yes	13
17	Over 1.5	17
13	Over 2.5	14
10	Over 3.5	11
6	Clean Sheets	7
2	Failed To Score	6
5.14	Shots On Goal	5.83
12.95	Total Shots	17.3
3.76	Corners	5.43
55.1%	Ball Possession	55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Monterrey's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-4-2

H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	10	6	1	34:17	17	36	L D W L D
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	11	3	3	33:17	16	36	L D W L D
3	Cruz Azul	17	9	6	2	31:18	13	33	W D W D W
4	CF Pachuca	17	9	4	4	25:19	6	31	L W W W L
5	Toluca Away	17	8	6	3	28:16	12	30	L L W L L
6	Atlas	17	7	5	5	16:18	-2	26	L L W D W
7	Tigres UANL	17	7	4	6	28:18	10	25	L W W D D
8	Club America	17	7	4	6	20:17	3	25	D D L W W
9	Club Tijuana	17	5	8	4	19:17	2	23	D W D W W
10	Leon	17	7	1	9	22:32	-10	22	L L W W W
11	Club Queretaro	17	4	8	5	17:21	-4	20	W D D W D
12	FC Juarez	17	5	4	8	26:32	-6	19	W L L L D
13	Monterrey Home	17	5	3	9	22:24	-2	18	L W L D L
14	Atletico San Luis	17	5	3	9	24:27	-3	18	L W L D W
15	Necaxa	17	5	3	9	19:25	-6	18	L D D L W
16	Mazatlán	17	4	3	10	22:37	-15	15	L W D L L
17	Puebla	17	3	4	10	13:26	-13	13	L L L L D
18	Santos Laguna	17	3	3	11	20:38	-18	12	W L L L D

Playoffs