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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Monterrey
FT
1 - 0
Toluca
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Referee: Daniel Quintero Huitrón, Mexico
Monterrey
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
39'
G. Berterame · Assist: J. Corona
Monterrey
🔄
54'
J. Corona ↔ R. de la Rosa
Toluca
🔄
58'
A. Briseno ↔ J. Angulo
Monterrey
🟨
59'
Helinho
Toluca
🔄
67'
Helinho ↔ S. Simon
Monterrey
🟨
74'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
🟨
80'
Germán Berterame
Monterrey
🔄
85'
D. Barbosa ↔ J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Monterrey
🔄
85'
N. Castro ↔ R. Morales
Monterrey
🔄
88'
G. Berterame ↔ V. Guzman
Toluca
🔄
88'
I. Fimbres ↔ J. Moxica
Toluca
🟨
89'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
🔄
90+3'
S. Canales ↔ A. Urias
Toluca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Monterrey Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monterrey1.53
Toluca2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monterrey Monterrey
WWDLW
36 GF / 31 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
45 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.37
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
5.32
Shots on Goal
5.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monterrey Monterrey 19 matches
Toluca Toluca 19 matches
Monterrey Statistic Toluca
10 Wins 12
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
36 Goals For 45
31 Goals Against 19
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
5.32 Shots On Goal 5.84
13.37 Total Shots 17.58
3.89 Corners 5.42
55.7% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Monterrey's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 5-3-2
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6
Stats
Monterrey Monterrey
Toluca Toluca
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 7
18 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
429 Total passes 458
349 Passes accurate 378
0.42 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Monterrey
Formation
Toluca
H. Gonzalez
H. Gonzalez
D. Barbosa
↓
D. Barbosa
A. Briseno
↓
A. Briseno
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
E. del Villar
E. del Villar
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
M. Ruiz
M. Ruiz
F. Romero
F. Romero
N. Castro
↓
N. Castro
Helinho
↓
Helinho
Paulinho
Paulinho
L. Cardenas
L. Cardenas
R. Chavez
R. Chavez
S. Medina
S. Medina
S. Ramos
S. Ramos
G. Arteaga
G. Arteaga
I. Fimbres
↓
I. Fimbres
F. Ambriz
F. Ambriz
O. Torres
O. Torres
S. Canales
↓
S. Canales
J. Corona
🎯 ↓
J. Corona
G. Berterame
⚽ ↓
G. Berterame
Monterrey 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Gonzalez
2
D. Barbosa
↓ 85' 🟨 74'
3
A. Briseno
↓ 58'
6
F. Pereira
25
E. del Villar
20
J. Gallardo
🟨 89'
14
M. Ruiz
5
F. Romero
8
N. Castro
↓ 85'
11
Helinho
↓ 67' 🟨 59'
26
Paulinho
Substitutes
22
L. Garcia
17
M. Isais
35
A. Alvarez
10
J. Angulo
↑ 58'
24
F. Arce
7
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
↑ 85'
16
H. Herrera
19
S. Simon
↑ 67'
31
R. Morales
↑ 85'
23
O. Virgen
Toluca 5-3-2
Starting XI
22
L. Cardenas
2
R. Chavez
33
S. Medina
93
S. Ramos
3
G. Arteaga
35
I. Fimbres
↓ 88'
5
F. Ambriz
8
O. Torres
10
S. Canales
↓ 90+3'
17
J. Corona
🎯 39' ↓ 54'
7
G. Berterame
⚽ 39' ↓ 88' 🟨 80'
Substitutes
25
S. Mele
4
V. Guzman
↑ 88'
15
H. Moreno
21
L. Reyes
13
C. Salcedo
14
E. Aguirre
189
A. Urias
↑ 90+3'
9
A. Martial
192
J. Moxica
↑ 88'
27
R. de la Rosa
↑ 54'
Last matches: Monterrey
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
2
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
H2H: Monterrey vs Toluca
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
L
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
W
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
L
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
W
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
L
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
L
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
W
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
W
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
W
Last matches: Monterrey
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
11.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
2
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
22.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
4
2
W
19.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
28.09.25
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
21.09.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
2
2
D
24.08.25
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
3
0
W
18.08.25
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
3
2
W
H2H at home: Monterrey
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
L
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
W
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
L
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
W
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
23.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
W
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
L
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
L
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
L
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Away
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey Home
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs