Monterrey
Match Timeline
Toluca
Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Monterrey Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monterrey1.53
Toluca2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monterrey
WWDLW
36 GF / 31 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
45 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.37
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
5.32
Shots on Goal
5.84
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monterrey
19 matches
Toluca
19 matches
| Monterrey | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 36 | Goals For | 45 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.37 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.32 | Shots On Goal | 5.84 |
| 13.37 | Total Shots | 17.58 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 5.42 |
| 55.7% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Monterrey's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 5-3-2
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Monterrey
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs