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MEXICO › LIGA MX
25.10.2026 00:00
Estadio BBVA

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Monterrey Win 0%
Draw 0%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monterrey1.4
Guadalajara Chivas1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monterrey Monterrey
WWDLW
35 GF / 24 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
21 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
13
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
4
5.93
Shots on Goal
5.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monterrey Monterrey 19 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 15 matches
Monterrey Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 2
35 Goals For 21
24 Goals Against 11
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
13 BTTS Yes 5
17 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 4
5.93 Shots On Goal 5.55
16.5 Total Shots 14.36
5.71 Corners 7.82
55.9% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Monterrey's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 3, Guadalajara Chivas wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)