BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Monte Roraima
Match Timeline
Guaporé
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Felipe Moreira
Monte Roraima
59'
Luquinhas
Monte Roraima
61'
Xandy
Monte Roraima
75'
Mano
Guaporé
90'
Lucas Vinicius
Guaporé

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monte Roraima Win 23.4%
Draw 6.3%
Guaporé Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monte Roraima1.02
Guaporé1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Guaporé Guaporé
WLDWL
19 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 10 matches
Guaporé Guaporé 10 matches
Monte Roraima Statistic Guaporé
2 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 0
11 Goals For 19
14 Goals Against 9
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Guaporé's more proactive style and Monte Roraima's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Guaporé carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 22 points while Monte Roraima sit 4 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guaporé having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Guaporé.

Monte Roraima Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Monte Roraima arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 10 points after 10 matches. With 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:14, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Luquinhas (3 goals), Matheus Taumaturgo (3 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guaporé Analysis

Guaporé come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 22 points from 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 19:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Gabriel (4 goals), Watthimen (4 goals), L. Pessoa (3 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Monte Roraima won 1 times, Guaporé won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Monte Roraima's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
H2H summary: Monte Roraima wins 1, draws 0, Guaporé wins 1
Last matches: Monte Roraima
28.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
0
1
L
Last matches: Guaporé
12.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H: Monte Roraima vs Guaporé
28.06.26
H2H
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
0
L
20.06.26
H2H
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
W
Last matches: Monte Roraima
31.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
0
1
L
H2H at home: Monte Roraima
20.06.26
H2H
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
W
Last matches: Guaporé
04.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
H2H away: Guaporé
20.06.26
H2H
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)