VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
13.09.2026 20:00

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monagas SC Win 38.8%
Draw 30.6%
Zamora FC Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monagas SC1.21
Zamora FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WWDLW
23 GF / 34 GA
Zamora FC Zamora FC
WLDWL
22 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monagas SC Monagas SC 21 matches
Zamora FC Zamora FC 21 matches
Monagas SC Statistic Zamora FC
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 7
13 Losses 8
23 Goals For 22
34 Goals Against 29
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
11 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zamora FC. Monagas SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Monagas SC Analysis

With 18 points from 21 games and a place of 12, Monagas SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 23:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zamora FC Analysis

So far, Zamora FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 25 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 22:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (69.4%)
Predicted formations: Monagas SC 4-3-3 / Zamora FC 4-3-3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 33:18 15 44
W W D W L
2 21 12 7 2 34:15 19 43
W D L W W
3 21 13 4 4 36:21 15 43
W W D L W
4 21 8 9 4 30:20 10 33
D D D D W
5 21 8 8 5 28:19 9 32
D D W D W
6 21 9 5 7 29:27 2 32
L D W D W
7 21 9 4 8 32:30 2 31
D D W L L
8 21 7 9 5 31:21 10 30
W L D D W
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 21 6 7 8 22:29 -7 25
D L D W L
11 21 6 2 13 24:42 -18 20
L W L L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 21 3 4 14 20:41 -21 13
L L L D L
14 21 2 5 14 16:38 -22 11
L L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2