17.02.2026 20:00
Stade Louis II
Referee: J. Manzano
Monaco
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
F. Balogun · Assist: A. Golovin
Monaco
⚽
18'
F. Balogun · Assist: M. Akliouche
Monaco
🟨
21'
Wout Faes
Monaco
🔄
27'
O. Dembele ↔ D. Doue
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
29'
Denis Zakaria
Monaco
⚽
29'
D. Doue · Assist: B. Barcola
Paris Saint Germain
⚽
41'
A. Hakimi · Assist: D. Doue
Paris Saint Germain
VAR
47'
Aleksandr Golovin
Monaco
🟥
48'
Aleksandr Golovin
Monaco
🔄
58'
M. Akliouche ↔ K. Diatta
Monaco
⚽
67'
D. Doue · Assist: W. Zaire-Emery
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
69'
K. Kvaratskhelia ↔ Lee Kang-In
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
70'
Vanderson ↔ A. Bamba
Monaco
🔄
70'
S. Adingra ↔ M. Coulibaly
Monaco
🔄
81'
B. Barcola ↔ G. Ramos
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
83'
F. Balogun ↔ M. Biereth
Monaco

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Monaco Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monaco1.29
Paris Saint Germain2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monaco Monaco
WWDLW
49 GF / 53 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
76 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
2.3
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
20
4.58
Shots on Goal
6.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monaco Monaco 33 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 matches
Monaco Statistic Paris Saint Germain
13 Wins 21
8 Draws 6
12 Losses 6
49 Goals For 76
53 Goals Against 33
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 20
18 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 4
4.58 Shots On Goal 6.94
12.97 Total Shots 18.58
4.88 Corners 6.42
51.2% Ball Possession 68.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 5 times, Paris Saint Germain won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Monaco's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Monaco 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Monaco wins 5, draws 3, Paris Saint Germain wins 7

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)