Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Monaco Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monaco1.7
Marseille1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monaco
WWDLW
54 GF / 35 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
57 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
19
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monaco
28 matches
Marseille
28 matches
| Monaco | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 16 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 54 | Goals For | 57 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.04 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 6 times, Marseille won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Monaco's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Monaco 4-2-3-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monaco wins 6, draws 2, Marseille wins 6
Last matches: Monaco
23.08.26
Lig
Monaco
Le Havre
1
0
W
20.08.26
UEF
Monaco
Gornik Zabrze
3
2
W
14.08.26
Fri
Monaco
Coventry
0
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Monaco
Liverpool
3
2
W
06.08.26
Fri
Monaco
Getafe
1
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Monaco
Cercle Brugge
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Monaco
Sporting CP
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Monaco
Saint-Priest
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Strasbourg
4
5
L
10.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Lille
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Metz
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Toulouse
2
2
D
19.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
10.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Paris FC
1
4
L
05.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Lyon
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Angers
2
0
W
25.02.26
UEF
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
H2H: Monaco vs Marseille
05.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
14.12.25
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
2
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
2
W
28.01.23
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
1
1
D
13.11.22
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
3
L
06.03.22
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
0
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
0
2
L
23.01.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
2
1
L
09.05.20
H2H
Marseille
Monaco
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
4
L
Last matches: Monaco
06.08.26
Fri
Monaco
Getafe
1
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Monaco
Cercle Brugge
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Monaco
Saint-Priest
5
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Monaco
Lille
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
05.04.26
Lig
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Angers
2
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Monaco
Nantes
3
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Rennes
4
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Monaco
Juventus
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Lorient
1
3
L
03.01.26
Lig
Monaco
Lyon
1
3
L
09.12.25
UEF
Monaco
Galatasaray
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Lens
1
4
L
01.11.25
Lig
Monaco
Paris FC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lig
Monaco
Toulouse
1
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Monaco
Tottenham
0
0
D
H2H at home: Monaco
05.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
2
W
13.11.22
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
3
L
11.09.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
0
2
L
23.01.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
1
W
30.10.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
4
L
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
05.04.26
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
2
L
13.11.22
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
3
W
11.09.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
0
2
W
23.01.21
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
1
L
30.10.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
2
1
L
15.09.19
H2H
Monaco
Marseille
3
4
W
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation