Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Monaco
Lille
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monaco
45 matches
Lille
46 matches
| Monaco | Statistic | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 23 |
| 11 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 74 | Goals For | 66 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 25 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 12.69 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 4.84 | Corners | 5.93 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 56.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lille. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monaco expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lille in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lille having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Monaco are currently 6 in the standings with 54 points from 32 matches. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 56:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Balogun (13 goals), A. Fati (10 goals), M. Akliouche (6 goals), with creative support from M. Akliouche (6 assists), Aleksandr Golovin (5 assists), L. Camara (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Lille come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 58 points after 32 matches. The return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 51:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Haraldsson (8 goals), M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 3 times, Lille won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Monaco's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Monaco
3
2
3
4
1
1
Lineups
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Metz
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Auxerre
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Juventus
Monaco
Le Havre
Monaco
Real Madrid
Lille
Auxerre
Lille
Le Havre
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Nice
Lille
Toulouse
Lille
Lens
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Rennes
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Lorient
Lille
Nantes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Angers
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Metz
Lille
Lyon
Lille
SC Freiburg
Lille
Strasbourg
Monaco
Auxerre
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Juventus
Monaco
Lorient
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Galatasaray
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Tottenham
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Manchester City
Monaco
Metz
Monaco
Strasbourg
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Toulouse
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Rennes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Angers
Lille
Metz
Lille
Lyon
Lille
Celta Vigo
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
St Maur Lusitanos
Lille
Auxerre
Lille
BSC Young Boys
Lille
Le Havre
Lille
Strasbourg
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Nice
Lille
Nantes
Lille
AS Roma
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Away
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Monaco
Home
|
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|