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18.09.2026 18:45
Stade Louis II
Referee: Clement Turpin, France
Monaco
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
20'
Michaël Cuisance
Lens
⚽
32'
Paris Brunner · Assist: Matthis Abline
Monaco
🔄
46'
Jean-Clair Todibo ↔ Jonathan Gradit
Lens
🟨
53'
Florian Thauvin
Lens
⚽
57'
Matthieu Udol · Assist: Florian Thauvin
Lens
🔄
58'
Abdallah Sima ↔ Odsonne Édouard
Lens
🔄
58'
Mezian Mesloub ↔ Thorgan Hazard
Lens
🔄
62'
Edan Diop ↔ Mathys Detourbet
Monaco
🔄
69'
Junior Kadile ↔ Michal Skoras
Lens
🟨
71'
Lamine Camara
Monaco
🔄
72'
Amadou Haidara ↔ Andrija Bulatović
Lens
🔄
76'
Denis Zakaria ↔ Pape Cabral
Monaco
🔄
76'
Matthis Abline ↔ Folarin Balogun
Monaco
⚽
84'
Jonathan Gradit
Monaco
🔄
90'
Paris Brunner ↔ Mohammed Salisu
Monaco

Monaco vs Lens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Monaco Win 62.8%
Draw 3.4%
Lens Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monaco1.87
Lens1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monaco Monaco
D W W W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Lens Lens
D W L L W
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.83
Shots on Goal
7.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monaco Monaco 12 matches
Lens Lens 9 matches
Monaco Statistic Lens
8 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
24 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 15
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
4.83 Shots On Goal 7.2
11.83 Total Shots 17.6
4.17 Corners 7.2
48.3% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monaco won 5 times, Lens won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:31 from Monaco's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Monaco 4-4-2 / Lens 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Monaco 7, Lens 5
H2H summary: Monaco wins 5, draws 4, Lens wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 16:9 7 17
W W W W W
2 8 5 1 2 18:14 4 16
W L W L W
3 8 4 3 1 11:6 5 15
D D W L W
4 8 4 3 1 11:7 4 15
D L D W D
5 8 4 2 2 13:7 6 14
L W L W D
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
L W L W D
7
Lens Away
8 4 1 3 16:12 4 13
W W W L D
8 8 4 0 4 18:13 5 12
W W W L L
9 8 3 3 2 7:6 1 12
D W W L D
10 8 3 2 3 8:10 -2 11
W L W W L
11 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
D W D W D
12 8 3 1 4 12:18 -6 10
D W L W W
13 8 2 3 3 14:12 2 9
L D W L L
14 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
D L L W D
15 8 1 4 3 11:16 -5 7
D L L W D
16 8 2 1 5 12:18 -6 7
L L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 5:16 -11 5
D L L L L
18 8 0 2 6 8:15 -7 2
L L L L D
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
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Play-offs
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Relegation