KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
76.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
90.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Mombasa Elite Win 73.9%
Draw 0%
Soy United Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mombasa Elite1.22
Soy United0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
WWDLW
42 GF / 26 GA
Soy United Soy United
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 27 matches
Soy United Soy United 28 matches
Mombasa Elite Statistic Soy United
18 Wins 11
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 11
42 Goals For 24
26 Goals Against 20
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
10 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 1
10 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Soy United. Soy United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Mombasa Elite arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 58 points compared to Soy United in 10 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Soy United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Mombasa Elite Analysis

Mombasa Elite approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 58 points after 28 outings. The return of 19 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 44:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Soy United Analysis

Soy United sit 10 with 39 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 24:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mombasa Elite won 1 times, Soy United won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Mombasa Elite's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Mombasa Elite wins 1, draws 0, Soy United wins 1
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
13.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
0
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
H2H: Mombasa Elite vs Soy United
19.04.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
11.01.26
H2H
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
1
0
L
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
07.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
03.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
3
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
2
1
W
22.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
2
0
W
10.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
29.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
1
0
W
11.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
H2H at home: Mombasa Elite
19.04.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
26.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
H2H away: Soy United
19.04.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation