Moldova
Match Timeline
Italy
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Moldova Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moldova1.14
Italy2.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moldova
WWDLW
9 GF / 27 GA
Italy
WLDWL
35 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
2.5
2.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
7.17
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Moldova
10 matches
Italy
14 matches
| Moldova | Statistic | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 9 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 9 | Goals For | 35 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 2.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 7.17 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 21.83 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 6.17 |
| 37.8% | Ball Possession | 61.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Moldova won 0 times, Italy won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:10 from Moldova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Moldova 5-3-2 / Italy 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Moldova wins 0, draws 0, Italy wins 3
Stats
Moldova
Italy
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
11
11
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
8
8
Lineups
Moldova
Formation
Italy
A. Kozhukhar
I. Revenco
M. Stefan
A. Craciun
D. Dumbravanu
O. Reabciuk
S. Perciun
V. Rata
A. Ionita
I. Nicolaescu
V. Postolachi
G. Vicario
R. Bellanova
G. Mancini
A. Buongiorno
A. Cambiaso
S. Tonali
B. Cristante
R. Orsolini
G. Raspadori
M. Zaccagni
G. Scamacca
Moldova
5-3-2
Starting XI
23
A. Kozhukhar
4
I. Revenco
D
🟨 28'
3
M. Stefan
D
🟨 90+5'
14
A. Craciun
D
19
D. Dumbravanu
D
🟨 2'
2
O. Reabciuk
D
↓ 55'
21
S. Perciun
M
↓ 61'
22
V. Rata
M
↓ 75'
7
A. Ionita
M
9
I. Nicolaescu
F
↓ 75'
17
V. Postolachi
F
↓ 55'
Substitutes
1
E. Timbur
G
12
C. Avram
G
5
C. Cucos
D
6
S. Bitca
F
↑ 55'
8
S. Bodisteanu
M
↑ 75'
10
V. Damascan
F
↑ 55'
11
M. Caimacov
M
13
V. Fratea
F
↑ 75'
15
I. Bors
D
16
D. Forov
F
18
V. Bogaciuc
M
↑ 61'
20
S. Platica
M
Italy
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
14
G. Vicario
G
2
R. Bellanova
D
23
G. Mancini
D
⚽ 88'
4
A. Buongiorno
D
19
A. Cambiaso
D
↓ 75'
8
S. Tonali
M
16
B. Cristante
M
17
R. Orsolini
M
↓ 75'
10
G. Raspadori
M
↓ 65'
20
M. Zaccagni
M
↓ 82'
11
G. Scamacca
F
↓ 65'
Substitutes
1
G. Donnarumma
G
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
3
F. Dimarco
D
🎯 88'
↑ 75'
5
M. Locatelli
M
6
S. Ricci
M
7
M. Politano
F
🎯 90'
↑ 75'
9
M. Retegui
F
↑ 65'
13
M. Gabbia
D
15
D. Frattesi
M
↑ 82'
18
F. Esposito
F
⚽ 90'
↑ 65'
21
A. Bastoni
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
Last matches: Moldova
09.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Bulgaria
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Cyprus
2
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Lithuania
0
2
L
16.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
1
1
D
09.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
1
11
L
05.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
0
4
L
09.06.25
Wor
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
25.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
2
3
L
22.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
0
5
L
16.11.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
1
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
2
0
W
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Moldova vs Italy
13.11.25
H2H
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
09.06.25
H2H
Italy
Moldova
2
0
L
07.10.20
H2H
Italy
Moldova
6
0
L
Last matches: Moldova
05.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Bulgaria
2
2
D
26.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Lithuania
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
0
4
L
25.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
2
3
L
22.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
0
5
L
10.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
2
0
W
H2H at home: Moldova
13.11.25
H2H
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
13.11.25
H2H
Moldova
Italy
0
2
W