13.11.2025 19:45
Stadionul Zimbru
Referee: M. Balakin
Moldova
Match Timeline
Italy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Daniel Dumbravanu
Moldova
🟨
28'
Ioan-Calin Revenco
Moldova
🔄
55'
O. Reabciuk ↔ S. Bitca
Moldova
🔄
55'
V. Postolachi ↔ V. Damascan
Moldova
🔄
61'
S. Perciun ↔ V. Bogaciuc
Moldova
🔄
65'
G. Scamacca ↔ M. Retegui
Italy
🔄
65'
G. Raspadori ↔ F. Esposito
Italy
🔄
75'
V. Rata ↔ S. Bodisteanu
Moldova
🔄
75'
I. Nicolaescu ↔ V. Fratea
Moldova
🔄
75'
A. Cambiaso ↔ F. Dimarco
Italy
🔄
75'
R. Orsolini ↔ M. Politano
Italy
🔄
82'
M. Zaccagni ↔ D. Frattesi
Italy
⚽
88'
G. Mancini · Assist: F. Dimarco
Italy
🟨
90+5'
Mihail Stefan
Moldova
⚽
90'
F. Esposito · Assist: M. Politano
Italy

Moldova vs Italy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Moldova Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moldova1.14
Italy2.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moldova Moldova
WWDLW
9 GF / 27 GA
Italy Italy
WLDWL
35 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
2.5
2.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
7.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moldova Moldova 10 matches
Italy Italy 14 matches
Moldova Statistic Italy
3 Wins 9
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 3
9 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 21
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
2.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 7.17
12 Total Shots 21.83
4.17 Corners 6.17
37.8% Ball Possession 61.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Moldova won 0 times, Italy won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:10 from Moldova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Moldova 5-3-2 / Italy 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Moldova wins 0, draws 0, Italy wins 3

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2
Italy Away
8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3 8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4 8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5 8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)