NORWAY ELITESERIEN
16.08.2026 15:00
Aker Stadion
Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway
Molde
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
31'
J. Haugaard ↔ O. Lauvli
Tromso
🟨
35'
Mathias Løvik
Molde
41'
E. Hestad
Molde
🔄
46'
L. O. Larsen ↔ Ieltsin Camoes
Tromso
VAR
49'
Sondre Milian Granaas
Molde
🟨
50'
Sondre Milian Granaas
Molde
53'
H. Larsen · Assist: T. Nyhammer
Tromso
55'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter · Assist: J. Abdullai
Molde
🟨
60'
Jalal Abdullai
Molde
🔄
70'
I. Dahlqvist ↔ S. Innvaer
Tromso
🔄
74'
D. Daga ↔ V. Bender
Molde
🔄
75'
M. Lovik ↔ S. Kabini
Molde
🔄
75'
J. Abdullai ↔ T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
🟨
84'
Heine Asen Larsen
Tromso
🔄
85'
L. Hien ↔ C. Oyvann
Tromso
🔄
85'
T. Nyhammer ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🟨
87'
Martin Linnes
Molde
🔄
90+4'
M. Linnes ↔ E. Haugan
Molde
🔄
90+5'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↔ C. Zady
Molde
90'
T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
90'
Ieltsin Camoes · Assist: S. Innvaer
Tromso

Molde vs Tromso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Molde Win 35.3%
Draw 4.1%
Tromso Win 60.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde1.45
Tromso1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molde Molde
WWDLW
45 GF / 37 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
49 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
18
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
12
5.44
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molde Molde 25 matches
Tromso Tromso 26 matches
Molde Statistic Tromso
10 Wins 16
6 Draws 6
9 Losses 4
45 Goals For 49
37 Goals Against 24
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
18 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 6
5.44 Shots On Goal 5.1
14.69 Total Shots 11.05
5.69 Corners 4.85
59.2% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tromso. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control.

Molde Analysis

Molde come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 24 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 28:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Emil Breivik (5 goals), Eirik Hestad (5 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (5 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (3 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 34 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 32:17 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Heine Asen Larsen (4 goals), Alexander Warneryd (4 goals), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Jenssen (4 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), David Edvardsson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 8 times, Tromso won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Molde's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Molde 4-2-3-1 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Molde 6, Tromso 2
H2H summary: Molde wins 8, draws 1, Tromso wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3
Molde Home
21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
12 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
13 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
14 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen