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18.10.2026 15:00
Aker Stadion

Molde vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Molde Win 83.9%
Draw 4.7%
Start Win 11.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde2.03
Start1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molde Molde
WWDLW
65 GF / 47 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
37 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
2.03
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.03
23
BTTS Yes
17
22
Over 2.5
19
5.95
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molde Molde 32 matches
Start Start 32 matches
Molde Statistic Start
15 Wins 8
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 19
65 Goals For 37
47 Goals Against 65
2.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.03
23 BTTS Yes 17
27 Over 1.5 30
22 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 10
5.95 Shots On Goal 3.73
15.77 Total Shots 14.18
5.59 Corners 4.32
59.2% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Molde's more proactive style and Start's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Molde come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Start. Molde arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 36 points compared to Start in 16 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Molde Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 36 points from 21 games, Molde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a 44:32 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Eirik Hestad (7 goals), F. Gulbrandsen (6 goals), Trent Toure Kone Doherty (6 goals), with creative support from E. Breivik (8 assists), S. Granaas (4 assists), J. Abdulai (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Start Analysis

With 16 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Start still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 22:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Cornelius (5 goals), H. Lorentzen (3 goals), O. Toure (3 goals), with creative support from E. Segberg (4 assists), H. Lorentzen (3 assists), Tom Strannegård (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 4 times, Start won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Molde's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Molde 4-2-3-1 / Start 5-3-2
H2H summary: Molde wins 4, draws 3, Start wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4
Molde Home
22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16
Start Away
22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen