Molde vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Molde
Aalesund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Molde
29 matches
Aalesund
28 matches
| Molde | Statistic | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 12 |
| 59 | Goals For | 48 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.55 | Shots On Goal | 5.05 |
| 15.05 | Total Shots | 15.75 |
| 5.35 | Corners | 5 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Molde's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aalesund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Molde arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 33 points compared to Aalesund in 15 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Molde approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 33 points after 19 outings. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 38:29, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Eirik Hestad (7 goals), F. Gulbrandsen (6 goals), E. Breivik (5 goals), with creative support from E. Breivik (6 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (3 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 30:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Christensen (7 goals), E. Osenbroch (5 goals), K. Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from E. Osenbroch (4 assists), U. Charles (3 assists), M. Christensen (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 9 times, Aalesund won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:14 from Molde's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 34 | 47 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 31 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Molde
Home
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Aalesund
Away
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | -14 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | -19 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|