KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 96.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 98.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
96.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
98.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
MOFA Win 51.2%
Draw 23.4%
Talanta Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
MOFA1.23
Talanta0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
MOFA MOFA
WWDLW
43 GF / 21 GA
Talanta Talanta
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
13
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MOFA MOFA 30 matches
Talanta Talanta 30 matches
MOFA Statistic Talanta
15 Wins 11
11 Draws 8
4 Losses 11
43 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 28
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
13 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Talanta. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Talanta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Talanta having the stronger overall control.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 56 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, with a 43:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Talanta Analysis

With 41 points from 30 games and a place of 11, Talanta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats with a 29:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MOFA won 0 times, Talanta won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from MOFA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: MOFA wins 0, draws 2, Talanta wins 0
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
Last matches: Talanta
13.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
2
3
L
07.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Talanta
3K
2
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
H2H: MOFA vs Talanta
02.05.26
H2H
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
13.12.25
H2H
Talanta
MOFA
0
0
D
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
07.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
W
29.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
4
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: MOFA
02.05.26
H2H
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
Last matches: Talanta
13.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
2
3
L
01.06.26
Sup
Talanta
3K
2
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
1
2
L
20.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
0
1
L
17.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
1
3
L
07.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
04.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
H2H away: Talanta
02.05.26
H2H
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5
MOFA Home
38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation