KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
MOFA Win 79%
Draw 4.2%
Kabati Youth FC Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
MOFA1.36
Kabati Youth FC0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
MOFA MOFA
WWDLW
50 GF / 29 GA
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
WLDWL
31 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
17
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MOFA MOFA 37 matches
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC 37 matches
MOFA Statistic Kabati Youth FC
16 Wins 10
15 Draws 8
6 Losses 19
50 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 51
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
17 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 25
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by MOFA's more proactive style and Kabati Youth FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. MOFA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 63 points compared to Kabati Youth FC in 15 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kabati Youth FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kabati Youth FC having the stronger overall control.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 63 points from 37 matches. The record of 16 wins, 15 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 50:29 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kabati Youth FC Analysis

Kabati Youth FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 38 points from 37 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 31:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MOFA won 0 times, Kabati Youth FC won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from MOFA's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: MOFA wins 0, draws 2, Kabati Youth FC wins 0
Last matches: MOFA
07.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
07.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
H2H: MOFA vs Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
30.10.25
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
Last matches: MOFA
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
07.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
W
29.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
4
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: MOFA
13.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
2
L
22.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
0
1
L
03.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
1
2
L
04.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
1
3
L
H2H away: Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5
MOFA Home
38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation