KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 94.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
94.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
MOFA Win 94.7%
Draw 0%
Gucha Stars Win 5.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
MOFA1.28
Gucha Stars0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
MOFA MOFA
WWDLW
46 GF / 25 GA
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MOFA MOFA 32 matches
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars 30 matches
MOFA Statistic Gucha Stars
15 Wins 8
12 Draws 8
5 Losses 14
46 Goals For 25
25 Goals Against 31
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by MOFA's more proactive style and Gucha Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gucha Stars having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gucha Stars. MOFA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 57 points compared to Gucha Stars in 14 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 57 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 46:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gucha Stars Analysis

Gucha Stars sit 14 with 35 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 27:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MOFA won 2 times, Gucha Stars won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from MOFA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: MOFA wins 2, draws 0, Gucha Stars wins 0