ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Referee: R. Abisso
Modena
Match Timeline
Reggiana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
2'
Manuel De Luca
Modena
🔄
6'
F. Gerli ↔ S. Santoro
Modena
13'
F. Zampano · Assist: L. Zanimacchia
Modena
🟨
14'
Francesco Zampano
Modena
🟨
35'
Simone Bonetti
Reggiana
🔄
46'
S. Bonetti ↔ A. Tripaldelli
Reggiana
🟨
56'
Luca Belardinelli
Reggiana
56'
G. Ambrosino · Assist: Y. Massolin
Modena
🟨
57'
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
57'
N. Girma ↔ K. Bozhanaj
Reggiana
🔄
58'
L. Belardinelli ↔ A. Novakovich
Reggiana
65'
F. Vicari · Assist: K. Bozhanaj
Reggiana
🟨
69'
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Modena
🟥
69'
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
72'
M. De Luca ↔ P. Mendes
Modena
🔄
72'
N. Pyyhtia ↔ A. Sersanti
Modena
🔄
74'
L. Libutti ↔ T. Reinhart
Reggiana
🟨
76'
Simone Santoro
Modena
🔄
83'
F. Zampano ↔ M. Cotali
Modena
🔄
83'
Y. Massolin ↔ S. Wiafe
Modena
🔄
84'
M. Bertagnoli ↔ T. Fumagalli
Reggiana
🟨
85'
Manolo Portanova
Reggiana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Modena Win 75.9%
Draw 0%
Reggiana Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena1.36
Reggiana0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Modena Modena
WWDLW
47 GF / 35 GA
Reggiana Reggiana
WLDWL
35 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
18
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
17
4.81
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Modena Modena 37 matches
Reggiana Reggiana 37 matches
Modena Statistic Reggiana
14 Wins 8
10 Draws 11
13 Losses 18
47 Goals For 35
35 Goals Against 55
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
18 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 17
4 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 11
4.81 Shots On Goal 3.22
15.54 Total Shots 10.24
5.57 Corners 3.54
50.6% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Modena's more proactive style and Reggiana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Modena expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Reggiana in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Reggiana having the stronger overall control. Modena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 52 points compared to Reggiana in 19 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Reggiana. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Modena Analysis

With 52 points from 36 games and a place of 6, Modena still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 47:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Gliozzi (11 goals), D. Tonoli (5 goals), P. Mendes (4 goals), with creative support from S. Santoro (4 assists), L. Magnino (4 assists), M. De Luca (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Reggiana Analysis

Reggiana sit 19 with 34 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 34:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Portanova (7 goals), A. Novakovich (4 goals), M. Lambourde (4 goals), with creative support from M. Bertagnoli (5 assists), M. Marras (4 assists), N. Girma (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 3 times, Reggiana won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Modena's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Modena 3-5-2 / Reggiana 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Modena wins 3, draws 2, Reggiana wins 6
Stats
Modena Modena
Reggiana Reggiana
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
8
2 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 4
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 8
3 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
351 Total passes 298
282 Passes accurate 230
0.53 expected_goals 1.76
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Modena
Formation
Reggiana
M. Pezzolato
M. Pezzolato
D. Tonoli
D. Tonoli
S. Nador
S. Nador
B. Nieling
B. Nieling
L. Zanimacchia
🎯
L. Zanimacchia
Y. Massolin
🎯
Y. Massolin
F. Gerli
F. Gerli
N. Pyyhtia
N. Pyyhtia
F. Zampano
F. Zampano
G. Ambrosino
G. Ambrosino
M. De Luca
M. De Luca
A. Micai
A. Micai
L. Libutti
L. Libutti
F. Vicari
F. Vicari
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi
S. Bonetti
S. Bonetti
M. Bertagnoli
M. Bertagnoli
L. Belardinelli
L. Belardinelli
M. Portanova
M. Portanova
M. Lambourde
M. Lambourde
N. Girma
N. Girma
C. Gondo
C. Gondo
Modena 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
M. Pezzolato
G
77
D. Tonoli
D
19
S. Nador
D
20
B. Nieling
98
L. Zanimacchia
🎯 13'
M
17
Y. Massolin
🎯 56' ↓ 83'
M
16
F. Gerli
↓ 6'
M
18
N. Pyyhtia
↓ 72'
M
7
F. Zampano
⚽ 13' ↓ 83' 🟨 14'
M
10
G. Ambrosino
⚽ 56' 🟨 57' 🟨 69' 🟥 69'
F
99
M. De Luca
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
78
F. Bagheria
G
28
D. Adorni
D
8
S. Santoro
↑ 6' 🟨 76'
M
11
P. Mendes
↑ 72'
F
29
M. Cotali
↑ 83'
D
33
C. Cauz
D
5
A. Sersanti
↑ 72'
M
25
A. Dellavalle
D
90
A. Imputato
2
G. Beyuku
D
71
S. Wiafe
↑ 83'
M
24
E. Colpo
F
Reggiana 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Micai
G
17
L. Libutti
↓ 74'
D
34
F. Vicari
⚽ 65'
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
43
S. Bonetti
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
D
26
M. Bertagnoli
↓ 84'
M
57
L. Belardinelli
↓ 58' 🟨 56'
M
90
M. Portanova
🟨 85'
M
93
M. Lambourde
M
80
N. Girma
↓ 57'
M
11
C. Gondo
F
Substitutes
12
A. Seculin
G
45
M. Cardinali
G
31
M. Sampirisi
D
14
D. Quaranta
D
10
K. Bozhanaj
🎯 65' ↑ 57'
M
77
T. Fumagalli
↑ 84'
F
9
A. Novakovich
↑ 58'
F
33
A. Tripaldelli
↑ 46'
D
16
T. Reinhart
↑ 74'
M
3
A. Bozzolan
D
8
Charlys
M
6
F. Vallarelli
M
Last matches: Modena
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ser
Modena
Avellino
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ser
Modena
Monza
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
14.04.26
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Modena
Bari
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
03.03.26
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Modena
Venezia
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Modena
Empoli
0
0
D
24.01.26
Ser
Modena
Palermo
0
0
D
18.01.26
Ser
Modena
Pescara
2
0
W
11.01.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
0
2
L
Last matches: Reggiana
08.05.26
Ser
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Palermo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Padova
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Carrarese
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Pescara
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
0
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Monza
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Bari
1
4
L
07.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
0
2
L
03.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Sudtirol
0
4
L
28.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Spezia
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Avellino
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Empoli
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Mantova
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Catanzaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Frosinone
0
1
L
17.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Cesena
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
1
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
L
H2H: Modena vs Reggiana
01.05.26
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
28.10.25
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
1
0
L
01.05.25
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
3
L
14.12.24
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
0
1
W
01.05.24
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
1
0
L
02.12.23
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
02.02.22
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
0
0
D
06.09.21
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
1
D
14.03.20
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
1
L
20.01.18
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
0
D
11.09.17
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
0
0
D
05.02.17
H2H
Reggiana
Modena
1
0
L
18.09.16
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
2
L
Last matches: Modena
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Modena
Palermo
0
0
D
26.12.25
Ser
Modena
Monza
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Modena
Venezia
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
0
0
D
02.11.25
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
3
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
Modena
Empoli
2
1
W
05.10.25
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
28.09.25
Ser
Modena
Pescara
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Modena
Bari
3
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Modena
Avellino
1
1
D
H2H at home: Modena
01.05.26
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
01.05.25
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
3
L
02.12.23
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
06.09.21
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
1
D
27.10.19
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
1
L
20.01.18
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
0
D
18.09.16
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
2
L
Last matches: Reggiana
19.04.26
Ser
Reggiana
Padova
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
0
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Bari
1
4
L
07.03.26
Ser
Reggiana
Venezia
0
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Spezia
1
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Empoli
1
1
D
07.02.26
Ser
Reggiana
Catanzaro
0
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Reggiana
Frosinone
0
1
L
27.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Sampdoria
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Pescara
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Reggiana
Mantova
1
0
W
22.11.25
Ser
Reggiana
Carrarese
0
0
D
01.11.25
Ser
Reggiana
Avellino
3
4
L
25.10.25
Ser
Reggiana
Monza
1
3
L
04.10.25
Ser
Reggiana
Cesena
2
1
W
27.09.25
Ser
Reggiana
Sudtirol
1
3
L
13.09.25
Ser
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Reggiana
Palermo
1
2
L
15.08.25
Cop
Reggiana
Empoli
1
1
D
H2H away: Reggiana
01.05.26
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
L
01.05.25
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
3
W
02.12.23
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
L
06.09.21
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
1
D
27.10.19
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
1
W
20.01.18
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
0
0
D
18.09.16
H2H
Modena
Reggiana
1
2
W

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation