ITALY › SERIE B
28.02.2026 14:00
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Referee: A. Calzavara
Modena
Match Timeline
Padova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
J. Harder ↔ L. Crisetig
Padova
⚽
8'
K. Lasagna · Assist: F. Di Mariano
Padova
⚽
14'
C. Faedo · Assist: C. Buonaiuto
Padova
🔄
28'
G. Beyuku ↔ Y. Massolin
Modena
🟨
44'
Cristian Buonaiuto
Padova
🟨
51'
Yanis Massolin
Modena
🔄
53'
G. Ambrosino ↔ E. Gliozzi
Modena
🔄
54'
B. Nieling ↔ M. Cotali
Modena
⚽
56'
L. Zanimacchia · Assist: E. Gliozzi
Modena
🔄
60'
C. Buonaiuto ↔ L. Di Maggio
Padova
🔄
68'
C. Pastina ↔ L. Villa
Padova
🔄
68'
K. Lasagna ↔ G. Caprari
Padova
🔄
68'
F. Di Mariano ↔ J. Silva
Padova
🔄
73'
F. Zampano ↔ G. Defrel
Modena
🔄
73'
M. De Luca ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🟨
74'
Mattia Fortin
Padova
🟨
89'
Steven Nador
Modena
🟨
90+1'
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Padova

Modena vs Padova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Modena Win 0%
Draw 0%
Padova Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena1.28
Padova0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Modena Modena
WWDLW
35 GF / 21 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
26 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
10
4.93
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Modena Modena 27 matches
Padova Padova 27 matches
Modena Statistic Padova
12 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
8 Losses 11
35 Goals For 26
21 Goals Against 34
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
4.93 Shots On Goal 3.78
16 Total Shots 10.41
5.81 Corners 3.89
50.4% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 3 times, Padova won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Modena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Modena 3-5-2 / Padova 4-4-2
H2H summary: Modena wins 3, draws 0, Padova wins 5

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation