ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Referee: A. Calzavara
Modena
Match Timeline
Padova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
J. Harder ↔ L. Crisetig
Padova
8'
K. Lasagna · Assist: F. Di Mariano
Padova
14'
C. Faedo · Assist: C. Buonaiuto
Padova
🔄
28'
G. Beyuku ↔ Y. Massolin
Modena
🟨
44'
Cristian Buonaiuto
Padova
🟨
51'
Yanis Massolin
Modena
🔄
53'
G. Ambrosino ↔ E. Gliozzi
Modena
🔄
54'
B. Nieling ↔ M. Cotali
Modena
56'
L. Zanimacchia · Assist: E. Gliozzi
Modena
🔄
60'
C. Buonaiuto ↔ L. Di Maggio
Padova
🔄
68'
C. Pastina ↔ L. Villa
Padova
🔄
68'
K. Lasagna ↔ G. Caprari
Padova
🔄
68'
F. Di Mariano ↔ J. Silva
Padova
🔄
73'
F. Zampano ↔ G. Defrel
Modena
🔄
73'
M. De Luca ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🟨
74'
Mattia Fortin
Padova
🟨
89'
Steven Nador
Modena
🟨
90+1'
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Padova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Modena Win 0%
Draw 0%
Padova Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena1.28
Padova0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Modena Modena
WWDLW
35 GF / 21 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
26 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
10
4.93
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Modena Modena 27 matches
Padova Padova 27 matches
Modena Statistic Padova
12 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
8 Losses 11
35 Goals For 26
21 Goals Against 34
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
4.93 Shots On Goal 3.78
16 Total Shots 10.41
5.81 Corners 3.89
50.4% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 3 times, Padova won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Modena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Modena 3-5-2 / Padova 4-4-2
H2H summary: Modena wins 3, draws 0, Padova wins 5
Stats
Modena Modena
Padova Padova
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
461 Total passes 318
382 Passes accurate 240
0.38 expected_goals 0.56
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Modena
Formation
Padova
L. Chichizola
L. Chichizola
A. Dellavalle
A. Dellavalle
S. Nador
S. Nador
B. Nieling
B. Nieling
G. Beyuku
G. Beyuku
L. Zanimacchia
L. Zanimacchia
F. Gerli
F. Gerli
S. Santoro
S. Santoro
F. Zampano
F. Zampano
G. Ambrosino
G. Ambrosino
M. De Luca
M. De Luca
M. Fortin
M. Fortin
F. Belli
F. Belli
F. Sgarbi
F. Sgarbi
C. Pastina
C. Pastina
C. Faedo
C. Faedo
A. Capelli
A. Capelli
K. Varas
K. Varas
J. Harder
J. Harder
F. Di Mariano
🎯
F. Di Mariano
C. Buonaiuto
🎯
C. Buonaiuto
K. Lasagna
K. Lasagna
Modena 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
L. Chichizola
G
25
A. Dellavalle
D
19
S. Nador
🟨 89'
D
20
B. Nieling
↓ 54'
2
G. Beyuku
↓ 28'
M
98
L. Zanimacchia
⚽ 56'
M
16
F. Gerli
M
8
S. Santoro
M
7
F. Zampano
↓ 73'
M
10
G. Ambrosino
↓ 53'
F
99
M. De Luca
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Laidani
G
22
M. Pezzolato
G
92
G. Defrel
↑ 73'
F
28
D. Adorni
D
11
P. Mendes
F
9
E. Gliozzi
🎯 56' ↑ 53'
F
29
M. Cotali
↑ 54'
D
33
C. Cauz
D
90
A. Imputato
↑ 73'
17
Y. Massolin
↑ 28' 🟨 51'
M
71
S. Wiafe
M
6
T. M. Fabbri
M
Padova 4-4-2
Starting XI
14
M. Fortin
🟨 74'
G
4
F. Belli
D
32
F. Sgarbi
D
58
C. Pastina
↓ 68'
D
72
C. Faedo
⚽ 14'
D
17
A. Capelli
M
7
K. Varas
🟨 90+1'
M
44
J. Harder
↓ 5'
M
77
F. Di Mariano
🎯 8' ↓ 68'
M
92
C. Buonaiuto
🎯 14' ↓ 60' 🟨 44'
F
15
K. Lasagna
⚽ 8' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Sorrentino
G
1
L. Mouquet
6
L. Crisetig
↑ 5'
M
20
M. Bortolussi
F
55
L. Villa
↑ 68'
D
86
G. Giunti
M
24
G. Caprari
↑ 68'
F
30
G. Favale
D
23
L. Di Maggio
↑ 60'
M
11
A. Seghetti
F
41
J. Silva
↑ 68'
M
13
A. Boi
D
Last matches: Modena
08.08.26
Fri
Modena
Vis Pesaro
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Modena
Trento
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Modena
Cagliari
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Modena
Virtus Bolzano
5
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ser
Modena
Avellino
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ser
Modena
Monza
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
14.04.26
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Modena
Bari
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
03.03.26
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Modena
Venezia
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
Last matches: Padova
07.08.26
Fri
Padova
Monza
3
3
D
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Padova
Ospitaletto
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
01.05.26
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
H2H: Modena vs Padova
28.02.26
H2H
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
11.01.26
H2H
Padova
Modena
2
0
L
18.04.21
H2H
Modena
Padova
3
0
W
23.12.20
H2H
Padova
Modena
0
1
W
19.01.20
H2H
Padova
Modena
0
1
W
09.09.19
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
L
17.03.18
H2H
Padova
Modena
0
0
D
29.10.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
0
D
19.03.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
L
29.10.16
H2H
Padova
Modena
1
0
L
Last matches: Modena
08.08.26
Fri
Modena
Vis Pesaro
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Modena
Virtus Bolzano
5
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Modena
Palermo
0
0
D
26.12.25
Ser
Modena
Monza
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Modena
Venezia
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
0
0
D
02.11.25
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
3
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
Modena
Empoli
2
1
W
05.10.25
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
28.09.25
Ser
Modena
Pescara
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Modena
Bari
3
0
W
H2H at home: Modena
28.02.26
H2H
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
18.04.21
H2H
Modena
Padova
3
0
W
09.09.19
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
L
29.10.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
0
D
19.03.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
L
Last matches: Padova
07.08.26
Fri
Padova
Monza
3
3
D
01.08.26
Fri
Padova
Cittadella
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Padova
Sassuolo
1
4
L
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
25.01.26
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
0
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
13.12.25
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
2
1
W
29.11.25
Ser
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Padova
Mantova
0
1
L
29.10.25
Ser
Padova
Spezia
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
0
0
D
H2H away: Padova
28.02.26
H2H
Modena
Padova
1
2
W
18.04.21
H2H
Modena
Padova
3
0
L
09.09.19
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
W
29.10.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
0
D
19.03.17
H2H
Modena
Padova
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation