Login Register
SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
10.10.2026 15:30
Strandvallen
Referee: Adam Ladeback

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 37.2%
Odds 3.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
37.2%
3.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
1.88 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Mjallby AIF Win 31.4%
Draw 37.2%
Degerfors IF Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mjallby AIF1.41
Degerfors IF1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
WWDLW
46 GF / 61 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
35 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
16
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
16
4.39
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 35 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 31 matches
Mjallby AIF Statistic Degerfors IF
8 Wins 9
11 Draws 6
16 Losses 16
46 Goals For 35
61 Goals Against 48
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
16 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 4
15 Failed To Score 11
4.39 Shots On Goal 3.09
11.39 Total Shots 11.05
4.32 Corners 4.68
49.8% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Degerfors IF.

Mjallby AIF Analysis

Mjallby AIF sit 12 with 22 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats with a 27:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Bergström (9 goals), Elliot Stroud (3 goals), Olle Lindberg (3 goals), with creative support from Á. Samuelsen (3 assists), Abdoulie Manneh (3 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 19:34 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Vukojević (4 goals), Marcus Rafferty (2 goals), Arman Taranis (2 goals), with creative support from N. Girmai Netabay (3 assists), D. Sundgren (3 assists), D. Vukojević (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Mjallby AIF won 9 times, Degerfors IF won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:6 from Mjallby AIF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (68.6%)
Predicted formations: Mjallby AIF 5-3-2 / Degerfors IF 5-3-2
Missing players: Mjallby AIF 3, Degerfors IF 2
H2H summary: Mjallby AIF wins 9, draws 1, Degerfors IF wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
7 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
8 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
9 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation