BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Mixto
Match Timeline
Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Felipe Clemente
Gama
42'
Ramon
Gama
55'
Flavio Henrique
Mixto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds 2.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.3%
2.50
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Mixto Win 30.8%
Draw 6.9%
Gama Win 62.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mixto0.84
Gama1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mixto Mixto
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Gama Gama
WLDWL
23 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.3
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
5
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mixto Mixto 10 matches
Gama Gama 10 matches
Mixto Statistic Gama
2 Wins 8
6 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
10 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 6
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gama having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gama carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 26 points while Mixto sit 4 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Gama look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gama.

Mixto Analysis

Mixto come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 12 points from 10 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 10:9 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking weight falls on Di Maria (2 goals), Gabriel Justino (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Gama Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Gama arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 26 points after 10 matches. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 23:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Felipe Clemente (7 goals), Ramon (7 goals), Henrique Almeida (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Last matches: Mixto
07.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
0
2
L
17.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Goiânia
3
0
W
Last matches: Gama
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: Mixto
07.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
23.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Goiânia
3
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Goianésia
3
2
W
17.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
1
L
20.04.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
4
3
W
Last matches: Gama
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.37
Home 3.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.88
Over 2.25 2.23
Over 2.5 2.56
Over 2.75 3.04
Under 1.25 3.14
Under 1.5 2.54
Under 1.75 2.22
Under 2.0 1.87
Under 2.25 1.60
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.80
Home 3.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 1.91
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.25
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.56
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.27
Draw 1.70
Home 4.64
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.71
Draw 2.10
Home 3.77
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.0 1.15
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.49
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.82
Over 3.25 4.20
Over 3.5 4.55
Over 4.0 8.60
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 1.0 4.30
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 1.75 2.08
Under 2.0 1.79
Under 2.25 1.57
Under 2.5 1.46
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.70
Home 3.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 1.97
Home 3.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.23
Home 3.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 4.40
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 3.5 1.15

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto Home
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)