BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Mixto
Match Timeline
Ceilândia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
Indio
Mixto
90'
F. Guilherme de Jesus Bueno
Ceilândia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34%
-
BTTS Yes
78.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mixto Win 31%
Draw 34%
Ceilândia Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mixto1
Ceilândia0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mixto Mixto
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Ceilândia Ceilândia
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mixto Mixto 9 matches
Ceilândia Ceilândia 9 matches
Mixto Statistic Ceilândia
2 Wins 3
5 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
9 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Mixto's more proactive style and Ceilândia's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceilândia. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceilândia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Mixto Analysis

Mixto come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Di Maria (2 goals), Gabriel Justino (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ceilândia Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 9 outings, Ceilândia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Julen (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mixto won 0 times, Ceilândia won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Mixto's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69%)
H2H summary: Mixto wins 0, draws 3, Ceilândia wins 1
Last matches: Mixto
27.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Gama
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Gama
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
0
2
L
17.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
2
L
Last matches: Ceilândia
28.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
2
2
D
13.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
W
H2H: Mixto vs Ceilândia
07.06.26
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
05.04.26
H2H
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
28.06.25
H2H
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
L
17.05.25
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
Last matches: Mixto
20.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Gama
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
23.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Goiânia
3
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Goianésia
3
2
W
17.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
1
L
20.04.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
4
3
W
H2H at home: Mixto
07.06.26
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
Last matches: Ceilândia
28.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
2
2
D
13.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Porto Velho
2
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
2
2
D
20.04.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
1
W
H2H away: Ceilândia
07.06.26
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto Home
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)