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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Mito Hollyhock
FT
0 - 1
V-varen Nagasaki
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
V-varen Nagasaki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
H. Nabeshima
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
K. Takahata ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
64'
K. Tada ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
64'
H. Nabeshima ↔ Diego Pituca
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
64'
T. Kasayanagi ↔ N. Campbell
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
68'
A. Watanabe ↔ S. Aihara
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
Y. Torikai ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
69'
T. Semba ↔ Y. Nagao
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
78'
M. Hasegawa ↔ K. Nakamura
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
80'
T. Mase ↔ Matheus Leiria
Mito Hollyhock
VAR
83'
Norman Campbell
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
88'
Matheus Jesus ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 18.3%
Draw 18.8%
V-varen Nagasaki Win 62.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.19
V-varen Nagasaki1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
21 GF / 40 GA
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WLDWL
23 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
13
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
3.42
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 20 matches
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 20 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic V-varen Nagasaki
2 Wins 8
8 Draws 2
10 Losses 10
21 Goals For 23
40 Goals Against 28
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
13 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
3.42 Shots On Goal 3.53
11.32 Total Shots 11.05
3.79 Corners 3.79
48.6% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 4 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 4, draws 1, V-varen Nagasaki wins 10
Stats
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 0
6 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 2
8 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
681 Total passes 291
589 Passes accurate 198
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
Formation
V-varen Nagasaki
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
T. Mase
↓
T. Mase
Danilo Cardoso
Danilo Cardoso
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
S. Omori
S. Omori
Y. Torikai
↓
Y. Torikai
T. Semba
↓
T. Semba
C. Kato
C. Kato
H. Yamamoto
H. Yamamoto
K. Tada
↓
K. Tada
A. Watanabe
↓
A. Watanabe
M. Goto
M. Goto
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
Dudu Giusti
Dudu Giusti
Y. Egawa
Y. Egawa
M. Sekiguchi
M. Sekiguchi
H. Yamaguchi
H. Yamaguchi
H. Nabeshima
⚽ ↓
H. Nabeshima
K. Takahata
↓
K. Takahata
M. Hasegawa
↓
M. Hasegawa
T. Kasayanagi
↓
T. Kasayanagi
Matheus Jesus
↓
Matheus Jesus
Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
25
T. Mase
↓ 80'
D
2
Danilo Cardoso
D
17
K. Itakura
D
7
S. Omori
D
11
Y. Torikai
↓ 68'
M
19
T. Semba
↓ 69'
M
8
C. Kato
M
39
H. Yamamoto
M
29
K. Tada
↓ 64'
F
10
A. Watanabe
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
70
Matheus Leiria
↑ 80'
F
5
S. Inoue
D
4
T. Ushizawa
D
13
S. Aihara
↑ 68'
F
9
R. Nemoto
↑ 68'
F
15
Y. Nagao
↑ 69'
M
20
Patryck
↑ 64'
F
24
K. Yamazaki
M
V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Goto
G
22
H. Onaga
D
4
Dudu Giusti
D
6
Y. Egawa
D
3
M. Sekiguchi
M
5
H. Yamaguchi
M
44
H. Nabeshima
⚽ 15' ↓ 64'
M
17
K. Takahata
↓ 46'
M
41
M. Hasegawa
↓ 78'
F
33
T. Kasayanagi
↓ 64'
F
10
Matheus Jesus
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Hatano
G
18
R. Yamasaki
↑ 88'
F
21
Diego Pituca
↑ 64'
M
48
H. Teruyama
D
45
N. Hyeung-jun
D
20
K. Nakamura
↑ 78'
M
23
S. Yoneda
↑ 46'
D
11
N. Campbell
↑ 64'
M
34
T. Matsumoto
M
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H: Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
2
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
03.08.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
L
12.08.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
3
D
03.05.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
4
0
L
14.09.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
27.04.22
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
2
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
01.11.20
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
4
1
L
23.08.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
L
13.07.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
L
12.08.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
3
D
14.09.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
L
13.07.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H away: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
W
12.08.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
3
3
D
14.09.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
L
23.08.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
3
W
13.07.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Kashima
18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2
FC Tokyo
18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3
Machida Zelvia
18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4
Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5
Tokyo Verdy
18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7
Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8
Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9
Mito Hollyhock Home
18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10
JEF United Chiba
18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)