Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
35.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
32.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mito Hollyhock
20 matches
V-varen Nagasaki
20 matches
| Mito Hollyhock | Statistic | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 21 | Goals For | 23 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.42 | Shots On Goal | 3.53 |
| 11.32 | Total Shots | 11.05 |
| 3.79 | Corners | 3.79 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring V-varen Nagasaki. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and V-varen Nagasaki in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward V-varen Nagasaki having the stronger overall control.
Mito Hollyhock approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 18 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 12 defeats with a 23:39 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Watanabe (4 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
V-varen Nagasaki approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 21 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 11 defeats with a 21:29 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Matheus Jesus (7 goals), Thiago (6 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (4 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 5 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Mito Hollyhock
Home
|
18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
W
|