JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Urawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
K. Yasui
Urawa
🟨
26'
Sho Omori
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
K. Okuda ↔ Matheus Leiria
Mito Hollyhock
VAR
50'
Teruhiro Sasaki
Mito Hollyhock
🟥
51'
Teruhiro Sasaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
52'
K. Yamazaki ↔ K. Osaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
53'
Matheus Savio ↔ S. Nakajima
Urawa
🔄
53'
S. Gustafson ↔ T. Kaneko
Urawa
70'
H. Komori · Assist: Y. Naganuma
Urawa
🔄
76'
H. Komori ↔ I. Kiese
Urawa
🔄
77'
K. Tada ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
77'
Y. Torikai ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
77'
I. Kiese · Assist: J. Hayakawa
Urawa
79'
I. Kiese · Assist: J. Hayakawa
Urawa
🟨
81'
Patryck Ferreira
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
82'
Danilo Boza ↔ H. Ishihara
Urawa
🔄
82'
J. Hayakawa ↔ Y. Matsuo
Urawa
84'
H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
90'
K. Kawakami ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 53%
Draw 7.2%
Urawa Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.14
Urawa1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
19 GF / 31 GA
Urawa Urawa
WLDWL
25 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
11
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
6
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 matches
Urawa Urawa 17 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Urawa
2 Wins 8
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
19 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 18
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
11 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.27
11.47 Total Shots 13.93
3.87 Corners 5.33
48.6% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Urawa's more proactive style and Mito Hollyhock's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Urawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Urawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Urawa. Mito Hollyhock have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock sit 7 with 18 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 21:31 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Watanabe (4 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Urawa Analysis

Urawa sit 6 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Hidano (4 goals), R. Watanabe (3 goals), H. Komori (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sávio (5 assists), K. Nemoto (1 assists), T. Kaneko (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, Urawa won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Urawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 0, draws 0, Urawa wins 3
Stats
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Urawa
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
6
0 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 0
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 6
5 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
367 Total passes 717
301 Passes accurate 641
0.48 expected_goals 2.63
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
Formation
Urawa
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
K. Sasaki
K. Sasaki
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
S. Omori
S. Omori
H. Yamamoto
H. Yamamoto
K. Yamazaki
K. Yamazaki
K. Kawakami
K. Kawakami
Y. Yamashita
Y. Yamashita
Y. Torikai
Y. Torikai
K. Okuda
K. Okuda
K. Tada
K. Tada
S. Nishikawa
S. Nishikawa
Danilo Boza
Danilo Boza
Y. Miyamoto
Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto
K. Nemoto
Y. Naganuma
🎯
Y. Naganuma
S. Gustafson
S. Gustafson
K. Yasui
K. Yasui
J. Hayakawa
🎯
J. Hayakawa
R. Watanabe
R. Watanabe
Matheus Savio
Matheus Savio
H. Komori
H. Komori
Mito Hollyhock 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
89
K. Sasaki
🟥 51'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
7
S. Omori
🟨 26'
D
39
H. Yamamoto
⚽ 84'
M
24
K. Yamazaki
↓ 52'
M
82
K. Kawakami
↓ 90'
M
48
Y. Yamashita
M
11
Y. Torikai
↓ 77'
F
44
K. Okuda
↓ 46'
F
29
K. Tada
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
70
Matheus Leiria
↑ 46'
F
8
C. Kato
M
13
S. Aihara
F
9
R. Nemoto
↑ 90'
F
3
K. Osaki
↑ 52'
M
20
Patryck
↑ 77' 🟨 81'
F
53
S. Yamashita
M
33
K. Ando
↑ 77'
M
Urawa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Nishikawa
G
3
Danilo Boza
↓ 82'
D
2
Y. Miyamoto
D
5
K. Nemoto
D
88
Y. Naganuma
🎯 70'
D
11
S. Gustafson
↓ 53'
M
25
K. Yasui
⚽ 24'
M
39
J. Hayakawa
🎯 77' 🎯 79' ↓ 82'
M
13
R. Watanabe
M
8
Matheus Savio
↓ 53'
M
17
H. Komori
⚽ 70' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Niekawa
G
4
H. Ishihara
↑ 82'
D
24
Y. Matsuo
↑ 82'
M
10
S. Nakajima
↑ 53'
M
9
I. Kiese
⚽ 77' ⚽ 79' ↑ 76'
F
14
T. Sekine
M
22
K. Shibato
M
77
T. Kaneko
↑ 53'
M
36
R. Hidano
F
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
Last matches: Urawa
17.07.26
Fri
Urawa
FC Ryukyu
4
5
L
06.06.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
31.05.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
22.05.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
06.05.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
18.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
18.03.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
H2H: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa
09.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
07.03.26
H2H
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
L
14.08.19
H2H
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
1
L
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mito Hollyhock
09.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
Last matches: Urawa
17.07.26
Fri
Urawa
FC Ryukyu
4
5
L
31.05.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
22.05.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
18.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
H2H away: Urawa
09.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa Away
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)