JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
16.05.2026 05:00
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: D. Shiino
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Tokyo Verdy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
Ryo Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
54'
R. Shirai · Assist: Y. Arai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
59'
Matheus Leiria ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
59'
R. Nemoto ↔ C. Kato
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
62'
R. Matsuda ↔ K. Suzuki
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
62'
R. Shirai ↔ K. Morita
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
63'
S. Teranuma ↔ I. Someno
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
68'
K. Osaki ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
A. Watanabe ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
74'
S. Tanabe ↔ Y. Matsuhashi
Tokyo Verdy
🟨
77'
Kaito Suzuki
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
81'
T. Ushizawa ↔ K. Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
82'
S. Nakayama ↔ K. Saito
Tokyo Verdy
🟨
87'
Koki Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
90+3'
Yuan Matsuhashi
Tokyo Verdy

Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 76.7%
Draw 0%
Tokyo Verdy Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.32
Tokyo Verdy1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
20 GF / 35 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.11
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 17 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 19 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Tokyo Verdy
2 Wins 6
8 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
20 Goals For 21
35 Goals Against 29
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 7
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.94
11.06 Total Shots 9.88
3.63 Corners 4.13
47.7% Ball Possession 41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Tokyo Verdy's more proactive style and Mito Hollyhock's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tokyo Verdy. Mito Hollyhock have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock sit 7 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 10 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Watanabe (4 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. The return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 21:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), H. Yamamoto (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), Y. Matsuhashi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 3 times, Tokyo Verdy won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 3-4-2-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 3, draws 3, Tokyo Verdy wins 9

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)