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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
11.10.2026 06:00
K's Denki Stadium Mito
Referee: Atsushi Uemura, Japan
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Shimizu S-pulse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
Y. Torikai ↔ K. Uchino
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
24'
Oh Se-Hun
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
26'
Kotaro Uchino
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
Hugo Leonardo ↔ Y. Funabashi
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
K. Kitagawa ↔ Y. Shimamoto
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
46'
K. Inoue ↔ T. Fujii
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
46'
Oh Se-Hun ↔ R. Germain
Shimizu S-pulse
⚽
48'
C. Kato · Assist: K. Taniguchi
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
67'
↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
67'
J. Okumura ↔ K. Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
67'
K. Matsuzaki ↔ K. Kinoshita
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
70'
Takumi Mase
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
75'
T. Fujii · Assist: Y. Shimamoto
Shimizu S-pulse
VAR
81'
Tada Keisuke
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
84'
Diego ↔ T. Hirato
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
85'
C. Kato ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
90'
H. Sugai · Assist: T. Fujii
Shimizu S-pulse

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 32.8%
Draw 12%
Shimizu S-pulse Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.23
Shimizu S-pulse1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
L L D W D
6 GF / 7 GA
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
W W L D L
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 8 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 8 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Shimizu S-pulse
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
11 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 8
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
3.63 Shots On Goal 3.38
11.88 Total Shots 11
4.38 Corners 5.13
43% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shimizu S-pulse. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shimizu S-pulse in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shimizu S-pulse having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

So far, Mito Hollyhock have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 9 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 11:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Watanabe (4 goals), Y. Kimoto (2 goals), Y. Torikai (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Torikai (2 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), Y. Funabashi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

So far, Shimizu S-pulse have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 6:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oh Se-Hun (2 goals), K. Kitagawa (1 goals), Y. Shimamoto (1 goals), with creative support from T. Fujii (2 assists), R. Germain (1 assists), Won Du-Jae (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, Shimizu S-pulse won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 0, draws 4, Shimizu S-pulse wins 3

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 30:10 20 27
D W W W L
2 12 8 3 1 27:8 19 27
W D W W W
3 12 8 2 2 29:10 19 26
W L W W W
4 12 8 1 3 25:19 6 25
W D L W W
5 12 7 2 3 18:11 7 23
D L W L W
6 12 6 4 2 25:18 7 22
W W W L D
7 12 7 0 5 21:23 -2 21
W W W L W
8 12 6 2 4 25:21 4 20
L D W W D
9 12 4 6 2 16:12 4 18
D D D D W
10 12 5 1 6 15:17 -2 16
L W L L L
11 12 4 2 6 14:18 -4 14
D D W W L
12 12 3 5 4 12:19 -7 14
D D L D D
13 12 4 2 6 10:20 -10 14
L L D W W
14 12 3 3 6 15:19 -4 12
L W L D D
15 12 2 5 5 14:21 -7 11
D W D L L
16 12 2 4 6 15:23 -8 10
D D L L W
17 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
L L L L L
18 12 1 5 6 9:21 -12 8
W D L L L
19 12 2 1 9 13:21 -8 7
L L L W L
20 12 1 4 7 12:24 -12 7
D L D D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League