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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Mito Hollyhock
PEN
2 - 2
Machida Zelvia
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: M. Fu
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Machida Zelvia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
H. Shimoda · Assist: F. Tokumura
Machida Zelvia
⚽
48'
I. Dresevic · Assist: A. Masuyama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
63'
Y. Yamashita ↔ T. Semba
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
67'
H. Mochizuki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
R. Nemoto ↔ K. Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
Matheus Leiria ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
76'
K. Sento ↔ K. Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
76'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ K. Hayashi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
77'
S. Fujio ↔ T. Yengi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
78'
S. Omori ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
79'
T. Iida ↔ S. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
87'
A. Masuyama ↔ G. Shoji
Machida Zelvia
🟨
88'
Kanji Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
90+2'
F. Tokumura ↔ Erik
Machida Zelvia
⚽
90'
K. Ando · Assist: T. Semba
Mito Hollyhock

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
- ▥
HT / FT 2-2
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 31.6%
Draw 17.6%
Machida Zelvia Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.34
Machida Zelvia1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
16 GF / 25 GA
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WLDWL
16 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
3.42
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 13 matches
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Machida Zelvia
2 Wins 5
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
16 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 18
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.42 Shots On Goal 3.73
11.33 Total Shots 12.18
3.5 Corners 3.73
47.9% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 4 times, Machida Zelvia won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 3-4-2-1 / Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 4, draws 6, Machida Zelvia wins 5
Stats
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 10
6 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
532 Total passes 350
444 Passes accurate 264
1.20 expected_goals 0.98
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
Formation
Machida Zelvia
S. Matsubara
S. Matsubara
T. Iida
↓
T. Iida
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
T. Ushizawa
T. Ushizawa
T. Mase
T. Mase
Y. Yamashita
↓
Y. Yamashita
K. Osaki
K. Osaki
S. Omori
↓
S. Omori
A. Watanabe
A. Watanabe
Matheus Leiria
↓
Matheus Leiria
R. Nemoto
↓
R. Nemoto
K. Tani
K. Tani
H. Mochizuki
⚽
H. Mochizuki
Kim Min-Tae
Kim Min-Tae
I. Dresevic
⚽
I. Dresevic
A. Masuyama
🎯 ↓
A. Masuyama
R. Shirasaki
R. Shirasaki
H. Shimoda
⚽
H. Shimoda
F. Tokumura
🎯 ↓
F. Tokumura
K. Sento
↓
K. Sento
Na Sang-Ho
↓
Na Sang-Ho
S. Fujio
↓
S. Fujio
Mito Hollyhock 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
S. Matsubara
G
6
T. Iida
↓ 79'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
4
T. Ushizawa
D
25
T. Mase
M
48
Y. Yamashita
↓ 63'
M
3
K. Osaki
M
7
S. Omori
↓ 78'
M
10
A. Watanabe
F
70
Matheus Leiria
↓ 68'
F
9
R. Nemoto
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
51
R. Haruna
G
44
K. Okuda
F
19
T. Semba
🎯 90' ↑ 63'
M
20
Patryck
↑ 78'
F
24
K. Yamazaki
M
29
K. Tada
↑ 68'
F
89
K. Sasaki
D
53
S. Yamashita
↑ 79'
M
33
K. Ando
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
M
Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Tani
G
6
H. Mochizuki
⚽ 67'
D
24
Kim Min-Tae
D
5
I. Dresevic
⚽ 48'
D
11
A. Masuyama
🎯 48' ↓ 87'
M
23
R. Shirasaki
M
18
H. Shimoda
⚽ 17'
M
34
F. Tokumura
🎯 17' ↓ 90+2'
M
8
K. Sento
↓ 76'
F
10
Na Sang-Ho
↓ 76'
F
9
S. Fujio
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Morita
G
49
K. Kuwayama
↑ 76' 🟨 88'
F
60
C. Mayaka
M
3
G. Shoji
↑ 87'
D
27
Erik
↑ 90+2'
F
16
H. Mae
M
99
T. Yengi
↑ 77'
F
88
H. Nakamura
D
26
K. Hayashi
↑ 76'
D
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
18.07.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Fujieda MYFC
2
1
W
06.06.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
13.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
H2H: Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia
29.04.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
14.02.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
24.06.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
L
06.07.22
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
3
W
08.05.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
11.07.21
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
1
L
21.03.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
13.12.20
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
L
19.07.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
4
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
05.05.19
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
W
09.09.18
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
0
0
D
01.04.18
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
16.07.17
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
L
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mito Hollyhock
29.04.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.06.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
19.07.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
4
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
01.04.18
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
17.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
15.01.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
H2H away: Machida Zelvia
29.04.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.06.23
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
3
0
L
19.07.20
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
4
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
01.04.18
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Kashima
18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2
FC Tokyo
18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3
Machida Zelvia Away
18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4
Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5
Tokyo Verdy
18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7
Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8
Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9
Mito Hollyhock Home
18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10
JEF United Chiba
18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)