JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
12.09.2026 09:00
Best Denki Stadium

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.3%
1.73
BTTS Yes
88%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 41.5%
Draw 23.8%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.7
Kawasaki Frontale1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 6 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 6 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
2 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
11 Goals For 12
8 Goals Against 9
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
4.33 Shots On Goal 5.67
13.17 Total Shots 17.17
4.67 Corners 4.67
39.5% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kawasaki Frontale. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock sit 7 with 8 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Watanabe (4 goals), Y. Torikai (1 goals), T. Mase (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Torikai (2 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), Yu Funabashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale sit 11 with 6 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lazar Romanić (2 goals), Y. Wakizaka (1 goals), Y. Yamamoto (1 goals), with creative support from R. Yamahara (1 assists), T. Ito (1 assists), S. Miura (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 0, draws 2, Kawasaki Frontale wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:5 13 16
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
5 6 3 2 1 13:5 8 11
L W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W D W W D
7 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
9 6 3 1 2 5:5 0 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 12:9 3 9
W L W D D
11 6 2 3 1 11:8 3 9
D W D W D
12 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
W W W L L
13 6 1 3 2 8:11 -3 6
L D D L D
14 6 2 0 4 7:11 -4 6
L L W W L
15 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
16 6 1 1 4 9:10 -1 4
D L L L W
17 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D L L L
19 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
D L L D L
20 6 1 0 5 5:15 -10 3
W L L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League