JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: Y. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Kawasaki Frontale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
T. Miyagi ↔ Marcinho
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
46'
L. Romanic ↔ K. Mochiyama
Kawasaki Frontale
58'
K. Mochiyama · Assist: S. Miura
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
61'
M. Arai ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
61'
Matheus Leiria ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
69'
Y. Torikai ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
VAR
76'
Taishi Semba
Mito Hollyhock
78'
K. Mochiyama
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
79'
A. Watanabe ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
79'
C. Kato ↔ K. Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
82'
Y. Yamamoto ↔ S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
85'
K. Mochiyama · Assist: S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
88'
T. Ito ↔ R. Osa
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
89'
Y. Wakizaka ↔ S. Kanda
Kawasaki Frontale
90'
Patryck · Assist: Danilo Cardoso
Mito Hollyhock

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 41%
Draw 21.2%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.27
Kawasaki Frontale1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
20 GF / 36 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.44
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
3.41
Shots on Goal
3.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 18 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 18 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
2 Wins 7
8 Draws 4
8 Losses 7
20 Goals For 26
36 Goals Against 27
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
3.41 Shots On Goal 3.76
11.24 Total Shots 11.47
3.59 Corners 4.82
48.5% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kawasaki Frontale.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 18 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 22:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Watanabe (4 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale sit 6 with 25 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 23:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (5 goals), L. Romanic (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (4 assists), Y. Yamamoto (2 assists), K. Tachibanada (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 0, draws 2, Kawasaki Frontale wins 2
Stats
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
406 Total passes 546
310 Passes accurate 448
1.00 expected_goals 1.61
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
Formation
Kawasaki Frontale
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
T. Mase
T. Mase
Danilo Cardoso
🎯
Danilo Cardoso
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
S. Omori
S. Omori
Matheus Leiria
Matheus Leiria
T. Semba
T. Semba
C. Kato
C. Kato
M. Arai
M. Arai
A. Watanabe
A. Watanabe
Y. Torikai
Y. Torikai
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
R. Yamahara
R. Yamahara
Y. Matsunagane
Y. Matsunagane
Y. Maruyama
Y. Maruyama
S. Miura
🎯
S. Miura
K. Tachibanada
K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto
Y. Yamamoto
T. Ito
T. Ito
Y. Wakizaka
Y. Wakizaka
T. Miyagi
T. Miyagi
L. Romanic
L. Romanic
Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
25
T. Mase
D
2
Danilo Cardoso
🎯 90'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
7
S. Omori
D
70
Matheus Leiria
↓ 61'
M
19
T. Semba
M
8
C. Kato
↓ 79'
M
14
M. Arai
↓ 61'
M
10
A. Watanabe
↓ 79'
F
11
Y. Torikai
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
5
S. Inoue
D
39
H. Yamamoto
↑ 61'
M
4
T. Ushizawa
D
9
R. Nemoto
↑ 61'
F
15
Y. Nagao
M
20
Patryck
⚽ 90' ↑ 79'
F
29
K. Tada
↑ 79'
F
33
K. Ando
↑ 69'
M
Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
G
29
R. Yamahara
D
2
Y. Matsunagane
D
28
Y. Maruyama
D
13
S. Miura
🎯 58'
D
8
K. Tachibanada
M
6
Y. Yamamoto
↓ 82'
M
17
T. Ito
↓ 88'
M
14
Y. Wakizaka
↓ 89'
M
24
T. Miyagi
↓ 46'
M
91
L. Romanic
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
49
S. Brodersen
G
19
S. Kawahara
🎯 85' ↑ 82'
M
32
S. Hayashi
D
34
R. Osa
↑ 88'
M
23
Marcinho
↑ 46'
F
15
T. Myogan
M
38
S. Kanda
↑ 89'
F
30
H. Noda
D
20
K. Mochiyama
⚽ 58' ⚽ 78' ⚽ 85' ↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
16.07.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
Vanraure Hachinohe
0
0
D
06.06.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
17.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
0
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
1
W
12.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
2
L
05.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
3
2
W
28.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
1
L
01.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
5
3
W
H2H: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale
24.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
01.03.26
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
12.07.23
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
1
L
11.07.18
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mito Hollyhock
24.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
30.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
10.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
0
2
L
18.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
1
W
28.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
1
L
15.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
0
0
D
H2H away: Kawasaki Frontale
24.05.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)