URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Palermo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds 2.22
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.8%
2.22
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.93
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.35
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 21.5%
Draw 5.8%
Rentistas Win 72.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar0.98
Rentistas1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
WWDLW
18 GF / 27 GA
Rentistas Rentistas
WLDWL
23 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
10
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 20 matches
Rentistas Rentistas 20 matches
Miramar Statistic Rentistas
4 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
18 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 22
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rentistas's more proactive style and Miramar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rentistas having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rentistas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rentistas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 9 points while Miramar sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Miramar Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Miramar have collected 5 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rentistas Analysis

So far, Rentistas have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Miramar won 3 times, Rentistas won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Miramar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Miramar wins 3, draws 6, Rentistas wins 6
Last matches: Miramar
15.08.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
0
3
L
09.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
01.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
26.07.26
Seg
Miramar
La Luz
0
1
L
12.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
L
06.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
Last matches: Rentistas
16.08.26
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
10.08.26
Seg
Rentistas
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
01.08.26
Seg
Rentistas
La Luz
5
2
W
18.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
0
D
12.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Atenas
3
1
W
04.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
2
L
27.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
W
21.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
0
3
L
07.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
0
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
1
1
D
23.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
1
2
L
10.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
2
1
W
23.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
H2H: Miramar vs Rentistas
17.05.26
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
1
0
L
29.04.26
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
15.10.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
0
D
27.05.23
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
2
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
2
1
W
11.08.18
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
L
17.03.18
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
04.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
3
1
W
10.06.17
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
08.10.16
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
2
1
L
04.02.14
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
1
3
W
08.09.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
29.06.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
3
L
25.06.13
H2H
Rentistas
Miramar
0
0
D
18.05.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
L
Last matches: Miramar
09.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.07.26
Seg
Miramar
La Luz
0
1
L
06.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
27.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Boston River
0
4
L
11.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Penarol
2
2
D
29.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Wanderers
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
29.11.23
Seg
Miramar
SUD America
1
1
D
21.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
0
1
L
12.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
0
W
H2H at home: Miramar
15.10.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
0
D
09.04.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
2
1
W
11.08.18
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
L
04.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
3
1
W
08.09.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
29.06.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
3
L
18.05.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
L
Last matches: Rentistas
01.08.26
Seg
Rentistas
La Luz
5
2
W
12.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Atenas
3
1
W
27.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
0
3
L
31.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
1
1
D
10.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
10.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
2
1
W
23.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
1
D
24.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
1
2
L
12.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Albion FC
1
4
L
27.09.25
Seg
Rentistas
Rampla Juniors
1
2
L
13.09.25
Seg
Rentistas
Central Espanol
0
1
L
31.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
Artigas
2
1
W
26.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
La Luz
0
2
L
15.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
0
4
L
26.07.25
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
12.07.25
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
0
0
D
29.06.25
Seg
Rentistas
Atenas
2
0
W
15.06.25
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
H2H away: Rentistas
15.10.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
0
D
09.04.23
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
2
1
L
11.08.18
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
W
04.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
3
1
L
08.09.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
29.06.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
3
W
18.05.13
H2H
Miramar
Rentistas
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.22
Draw 3.03
Home 3.22
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.76
Over 2.25 2.06
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 2.75 2.78
Over 3.0 3.43
Under 1.25 3.54
Under 1.5 2.73
Under 1.75 2.40
Under 2.0 2.05
Under 2.25 1.72
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.28
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 3.10
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.00
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.60
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.21
Draw 2.95
Home 3.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.93
Draw 1.88
Home 4.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.59
Draw 2.21
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.24
Over 1.5 1.39
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.69
Over 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.29
Over 2.75 2.66
Over 3.0 3.42
Over 3.25 3.84
Over 3.5 4.20
Over 3.75 4.71
Over 4.0 7.80
Over 4.5 9.50
Over 5.5 23.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 0.75 5.96
Under 1.0 5.55
Under 1.25 3.34
Under 1.5 2.59
Under 1.75 2.32
Under 2.0 1.95
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.95
Home 2.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.04
Home 3.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.60
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D