03.10.2026 16:00
Parque Palermo

Miramar vs Paysandu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.8%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.65 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 31.2%
Draw 25.3%
Paysandu Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar1.1
Paysandu1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
14
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 26 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 26 matches
Miramar Statistic Paysandu
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 5
11 Losses 13
25 Goals For 30
33 Goals Against 34
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
14 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paysandu. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Miramar Analysis

Miramar sit 10 with 5 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 3:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)

Standings

2nd Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 4 5 29:18 11 37
D W D W L
2 20 9 5 6 25:18 7 32
D D W W L
3 20 8 7 5 29:22 7 31
W W L W W
4 20 8 6 6 29:23 6 30
W D L L D
5 20 8 6 6 24:22 2 30
W L W W D
6 20 8 5 7 20:23 -3 29
L D L W W
7 20 6 8 6 25:24 1 26
L D W L D
8 20 6 8 6 24:23 1 26
L D D L L
9 20 7 5 8 21:26 -5 26
W D L W W
10 20 7 4 9 26:27 -1 25
D D L W W
11 20 6 6 8 16:22 -6 24
W L W L D
12 20 6 6 8 16:22 -6 24
D D D L L
13 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
L W W L D
14 20 4 5 11 19:29 -10 17
L L D L D