URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Palermo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 23.4%
Draw 6.6%
Colón Win 70.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar0.97
Colón1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
WWDLW
20 GF / 29 GA
Colón Colón
WLDWL
26 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
12
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 22 matches
Colón Colón 22 matches
Miramar Statistic Colón
4 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
20 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 23
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
12 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colón's more proactive style and Miramar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colón. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colón having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colón carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 9 points while Miramar sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Miramar Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Miramar have collected 5 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colón Analysis

Colón come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Miramar won 1 times, Colón won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Miramar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Miramar wins 1, draws 1, Colón wins 0

Standings

2nd Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 2 5 25:16 9 29
L D W W W
2 16 7 5 4 23:18 5 26
D D W W L
3 16 7 4 5 18:18 0 25
W D W W L
4 16 7 3 6 21:16 5 24
L D W D W
5 16 6 6 4 21:18 3 24
L W D L D
6 16 5 7 4 22:17 5 22
W W D L L
7 16 5 7 4 20:18 2 22
D W L D D
8 16 5 6 5 18:18 0 21
D D L D W
9 16 6 3 7 11:16 -5 21
L L W D W
10 16 6 2 8 21:22 -1 20
W D L L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:21 -7 19
W D W L L
12 16 4 6 6 12:17 -5 18
D L L D L
13 16 3 7 6 17:22 -5 16
D D L D L
14 16 4 4 8 16:22 -6 16
D L L W W