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17.10.2026 23:00
Parque Palermo
Miramar
Match Timeline
Cerrito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
48'
A. Gonzalez
Miramar

Miramar vs Cerrito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 49.2%
Draw 10.8%
Cerrito Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar1.05
Cerrito1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
D W L W W
7 GF / 4 GA
Cerrito Cerrito
W W L D D
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
15
BTTS Yes
17
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 28 matches
Cerrito Cerrito 28 matches
Miramar Statistic Cerrito
7 Wins 10
10 Draws 11
11 Losses 7
27 Goals For 37
34 Goals Against 33
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
15 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerrito having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cerrito. Cerrito carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 9 points while Miramar sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Miramar Analysis

Miramar sit 10 with 5 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cerrito Analysis

So far, Cerrito have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Miramar won 1 times, Cerrito won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Miramar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
H2H summary: Miramar wins 1, draws 3, Cerrito wins 1

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D