BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Stadium FC Minsk
Minsk II
Match Timeline
Volna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
A. Tumanov
Minsk II
🟨
27'
M. Grechikha
Volna
42'
A. Vlasov · Assist: M. Grechikha
Volna
🔄
46'
A. Tumanov ↔ R. Sitnikov
Minsk II
🔄
46'
I. Volchok ↔ V. Malyutin
Minsk II
🔄
56'
D. Matyash ↔ A. Samuylik
Volna
🔄
58'
I. Sviridenko ↔ D. Denisenko
Minsk II
🔄
58'
E. Egorov ↔ A. Kazakov
Minsk II
63'
I. Bondarenko · Assist: V. Zholudov
Minsk II
66'
A. Vlasov · Assist: A. Radzhabov
Volna
🔄
67'
A. Vlasov ↔ E. Nikoporenok
Volna
🔄
67'
V. Kibuk ↔ J. Oreshkevich
Volna
🟨
69'
S. Matusevich
Minsk II
🟨
74'
V. Malyutin
Minsk II
🟨
75'
J. Oreshkevich
Volna
🔄
76'
M. Grechikha ↔ D. Nizhnik
Volna
🔄
76'
S. Matusevich ↔ D. Morozov
Minsk II
🟨
90+3'
A. Radzhabov
Volna
🟨
90+3'
V. Zholudov
Minsk II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minsk II Win 26.7%
Draw 36.1%
Volna Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minsk II1.17
Volna1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minsk II Minsk II
WWDLW
10 GF / 24 GA
Volna Volna
WLDWL
20 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minsk II Minsk II 11 matches
Volna Volna 14 matches
Minsk II Statistic Volna
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
10 Goals For 20
24 Goals Against 22
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
6 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Volna.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lutskovich (6 goals), K. Kaplenko (4 goals), A. Voskoboynikov (3 goals), with creative support from S. Zhivushko (5 assists), G. Drozd (4 assists), A. Lutskovich (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volna Analysis

So far, Volna have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:17 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by D. Matyash (5 goals), D. Lesnyak (2 goals), E. Nikoporenok (2 goals), with creative support from V. Kibuk (3 assists), A. Vlasov (2 assists), E. Nikoporenok (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Minsk II won 1 times, Volna won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Minsk II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.4%)
H2H summary: Minsk II wins 1, draws 2, Volna wins 3
Last matches: Minsk II
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
Last matches: Volna
13.06.26
1.
Volna
Osipovichy
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Volna
Lida
4
2
W
01.06.26
1.
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
H2H: Minsk II vs Volna
22.11.25
H2H
Volna
Minsk II
2
3
W
25.07.25
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
1
L
09.08.14
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
0
D
19.04.14
H2H
Volna
Minsk II
2
2
D
11.09.13
H2H
Volna
Minsk II
3
0
L
11.05.13
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
2
L
Last matches: Minsk II
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H at home: Minsk II
25.07.25
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
1
L
09.08.14
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
0
D
11.05.13
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
2
L
Last matches: Volna
06.06.26
1.
Volna
Lida
4
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
H2H away: Volna
25.07.25
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
1
W
09.08.14
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
0
D
11.05.13
H2H
Minsk II
Volna
0
2
W

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 26:13 13 28
W W W W L
2 11 7 3 1 24:9 15 24
W D W W W
3 12 7 2 3 21:10 11 23
L D L W W
4 11 6 2 3 25:14 11 20
W D W W L
5 12 6 2 4 21:22 -1 20
W W L D L
6 11 6 2 3 26:16 10 20
W L W D D
7 11 5 4 2 24:13 11 19
L W W D W
8
Volna Away
12 5 2 5 18:19 -1 17
W W W W L
9 11 5 2 4 19:15 4 17
W D L W W
10 11 5 1 5 14:19 -5 16
L L D W W
11 11 2 6 3 14:14 0 12
D D W L D
12 10 3 2 5 10:17 -7 11
L D L L W
13 11 3 2 6 11:17 -6 11
L L L L D
14 11 2 5 4 16:22 -6 11
W D L D D
15 12 2 4 6 14:18 -4 10
L L D L D
16 11 2 4 5 13:18 -5 10
W W D L L
17 12 3 1 8 11:26 -15 10
L L D L W
18 11 0 1 10 10:35 -25 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation