🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Field
Referee: T. Penso
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Z. Booth · Assist: Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
🟨
29'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
VAR
45+5'
Mamadou Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🔄
60'
D. Yedlin ↔ P. Quinton
Real Salt Lake
🔄
60'
A. Hezarkhani ↔ Lineker Rodrigues
Real Salt Lake
🔄
65'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🟨
75'
Noel Caliskan
Real Salt Lake
🔄
77'
N. Triantis ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
77'
A. Markanich ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
79'
Z. Booth ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
83'
O. Gene ↔ D. Fitz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
M. Dieng ↔ M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
🔄
87'
L. Engel ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
🔄
87'
S. Spierings ↔ G. Dillon
Real Salt Lake
90'
M. Gonzalez · Assist: J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 35.6%
Draw 18.4%
Real Salt Lake Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.32
Real Salt Lake1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
21 GF / 23 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
31 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
12
4.57
Shots on Goal
6.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 17 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 16 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Real Salt Lake
7 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
21 Goals For 31
23 Goals Against 23
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
4.57 Shots On Goal 6.31
13.43 Total Shots 15.77
5.21 Corners 4.31
46% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Minnesota United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 8 with 21 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 17:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Yeboah (8 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), J. Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (4 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 25 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 25:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on S. Solans (6 goals), Z. Gozo (6 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from J. Sanabria (4 assists), S. Solans (3 assists), Z. Gozo (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 3 times, Real Salt Lake won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 5, Real Salt Lake 5
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 3, draws 9, Real Salt Lake wins 2
Stats
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 11
7 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
454 Total passes 353
361 Passes accurate 263
0.86 expected_goals 0.33
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
Formation
Real Salt Lake
D. Callender
D. Callender
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
M. Boxall
M. Boxall
M. Duggan
M. Duggan
K. Duncan
K. Duncan
N. Triantis
N. Triantis
O. Gene
O. Gene
A. Markanich
A. Markanich
J. Pereyra
🎯
J. Pereyra
M. Dieng
M. Dieng
T. Chancalay
T. Chancalay
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
D. Yedlin
D. Yedlin
J. Glad
J. Glad
L. Engel
L. Engel
Z. Booth
Z. Booth
N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan
S. Spierings
S. Spierings
J. Sanabria
J. Sanabria
A. Hezarkhani
A. Hezarkhani
S. Solans
S. Solans
Z. Gozo
🎯
Z. Gozo
Minnesota United FC 3-4-3
Starting XI
12
D. Callender
G
28
J. Diaz
D
15
M. Boxall
D
23
M. Duggan
D
3
K. Duncan
↓ 65'
M
25
N. Triantis
↓ 77'
M
30
O. Gene
↓ 83'
M
13
A. Markanich
↓ 77'
M
26
J. Pereyra
🎯 90'
F
29
M. Dieng
↓ 83'
F
8
T. Chancalay
F
Substitutes
1
A. Smir
G
20
W. Trapp
↑ 77'
M
7
D. Fitz
↑ 83'
M
21
B. Hlongwane
↑ 65'
F
5
N. Romero
D
2
D. Padelford
D
22
M. Caldeira
↑ 83'
F
67
C. Harvey
M
18
M. Gonzalez
⚽ 90' ↑ 77'
F
Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
2
D. Yedlin
↓ 60' 🟨 29'
D
15
J. Glad
D
4
L. Engel
↓ 87'
D
23
Z. Booth
⚽ 22' ↓ 79'
M
92
N. Caliskan
🟨 75'
M
6
S. Spierings
↓ 87'
M
8
J. Sanabria
M
39
A. Hezarkhani
↓ 60'
F
22
S. Solans
F
72
Z. Gozo
🎯 22'
F
Substitutes
24
M. Kerkvliet
G
11
D. Marczuk
F
26
P. Quinton
↑ 60'
D
17
V. Olatunji
↑ 79'
F
29
S. Junqua
↑ 87'
D
27
G. Dillon
↑ 87'
M
21
J. J. Arias
D
70
Lineker Rodrigues
↑ 60'
F
38
A. Riquelme
M
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H: Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
3
W
30.03.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
28.01.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
30.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
01.09.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
3
0
L
04.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
3
2
W
30.05.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
H2H at home: Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
28.05.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
04.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
3
2
W
25.04.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
28.05.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
04.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
3
2
L
25.04.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
2
W

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Minnesota United FC 5 missing
-
P. Stroud
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Gressel
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
J. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
C. Harvey
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
K. Yeboah
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Real Salt Lake 5 missing
-
E. Eneli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. J. Arias
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Barea
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Luna
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT