🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Field
Referee: N. Bensalah
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
T. Chancalay · Assist: J. Diaz
Minnesota United FC
🟨
26'
T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
55'
F. Mora ↔ K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
60'
K. Yeboah · Assist: T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
66'
N. Romero ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
66'
Antony ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🟨
73'
N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
74'
O. Gene ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
74'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
A. Bonetig ↔ A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
90'
J. Pereyra ↔ J. Rodriguez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 33.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
33.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 33.3%
Draw 32.9%
Portland Timbers Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.55
Portland Timbers1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
5
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 10 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Portland Timbers
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
12 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 25
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
5 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.57
12.57 Total Shots 10.57
4.43 Corners 3.71
41.3% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Minnesota United FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 11 points compared to Portland Timbers in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Portland Timbers. Portland Timbers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 9 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Yeboah (4 goals), Anthony Markanich (1 goals), Kyle Duncan (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (3 assists), T. Chancalay (2 assists), D. Padelford (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Boxall, P. Stroud, J. Gressel unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 11 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Velde (3 goals), A. Lassiter (1 goals), Antony (1 goals), with creative support from C. Bassett (2 assists), Antony (1 assists), G. Guerra (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with O. Fernandez, Z. McGraw, J. Mosquera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 8 times, Portland Timbers won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (67.1%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 3, Portland Timbers 3
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 8, draws 4, Portland Timbers wins 3
Stats
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
439 Total passes 560
366 Passes accurate 483
2.45 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
Formation
Portland Timbers
D. Callender
D. Callender
J. Diaz
🎯
J. Diaz
M. Duggan
M. Duggan
N. Romero
N. Romero
K. Duncan
K. Duncan
N. Triantis
N. Triantis
O. Gene
O. Gene
A. Markanich
A. Markanich
J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
T. Chancalay
🎯
T. Chancalay
K. Yeboah
K. Yeboah
J. Pantemis
J. Pantemis
B. Bye
B. Bye
F. Surman
F. Surman
A. Bonetig
A. Bonetig
J. Fory
J. Fory
C. Bassett
C. Bassett
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
K. Velde
K. Velde
D. Da Costa
D. Da Costa
Antony
Antony
F. Mora
F. Mora
Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
D. Callender
G
28
J. Diaz
🎯 16'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
5
N. Romero
↓ 66'
D
3
K. Duncan
M
25
N. Triantis
🟨 73'
M
30
O. Gene
↓ 74'
M
13
A. Markanich
M
26
J. Pereyra
↓ 90'
F
8
T. Chancalay
⚽ 16' 🎯 60' ↓ 74' 🟨 26'
F
9
K. Yeboah
⚽ 60' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Smir
G
10
J. Rodriguez
↑ 90'
M
20
W. Trapp
↑ 74'
M
21
B. Hlongwane
F
2
D. Padelford
↑ 66'
D
33
K. Chandler
D
27
D. Taylor
D
18
M. Gonzalez
↑ 74'
F
29
M. Dieng
↑ 90'
F
Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
J. Pantemis
G
5
B. Bye
D
20
F. Surman
D
6
A. Bonetig
↓ 80'
D
27
J. Fory
D
17
C. Bassett
M
30
J. Caicedo
M
99
K. Velde
M
10
D. Da Costa
M
11
Antony
↓ 66'
M
9
F. Mora
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
25
T. Muse
G
21
D. Chara
M
15
E. Miller
D
80
J. Ortiz
M
28
A. Aravena
↑ 66'
F
19
K. Kelsy
↑ 55'
F
7
A. Lassiter
↑ 80'
F
4
K. Miller
D
23
I. Smith
D
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
Last matches: Portland Timbers
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
11.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
H2H: Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers
19.04.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
20.07.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
30.06.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
3
2
L
19.05.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
02.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
21.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
1
0
L
30.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
4
D
21.11.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
3
1
L
25.07.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
27.06.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
1
W
02.03.20
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
1
3
W
22.09.19
H2H
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
08.08.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
H2H at home: Minnesota United FC
19.04.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
02.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
4
D
25.07.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
08.08.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
Last matches: Portland Timbers
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
11.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
H2H away: Portland Timbers
19.04.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
L
02.07.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
4
4
D
25.07.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
L
08.08.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Minnesota United FC 3 missing
-
M. Boxall
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
P. Stroud
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Gressel
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
Portland Timbers 3 missing
-
O. Fernandez
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
Z. McGraw
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
J. Mosquera
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT