🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.04.2026 00:30
Allianz Field
Referee: Nabil Bensalah,
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
T. Chancalay · Assist: J. Diaz
Minnesota United FC
🟨
26'
T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
55'
F. Mora ↔ K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
60'
K. Yeboah · Assist: T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
66'
N. Romero ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
66'
Antony ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🟨
73'
N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
74'
O. Gene ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
74'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
80'
A. Bonetig ↔ A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
90'
J. Pereyra ↔ J. Rodriguez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 33.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
33.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 33.3%
Draw 32.9%
Portland Timbers Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.55
Portland Timbers1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
5
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 10 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Portland Timbers
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
12 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 25
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
5 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.57
12.57 Total Shots 10.57
4.43 Corners 3.71
41.3% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Minnesota United FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 11 points compared to Portland Timbers in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Portland Timbers. Portland Timbers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 9 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Yeboah (4 goals), Anthony Markanich (1 goals), Kyle Duncan (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (3 assists), T. Chancalay (2 assists), D. Padelford (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Boxall, P. Stroud, J. Gressel unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 11 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Velde (3 goals), A. Lassiter (1 goals), Antony (1 goals), with creative support from C. Bassett (2 assists), Antony (1 assists), G. Guerra (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with O. Fernandez, Z. McGraw, J. Mosquera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 8 times, Portland Timbers won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (67.1%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 3, Portland Timbers 3
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 8, draws 4, Portland Timbers wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)